Democratic incumbent Kim Schrier's established record and the district's modest Democratic lean underpin trader consensus favoring her party. Washington's 8th, encompassing eastern Seattle suburbs and areas beyond the Cascades, carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+3, placing it among the more competitive yet reliably Democratic seats in the state. Multiple Republican challengers have entered the August 2026 top-two primary, yet none have emerged with broad momentum or significant fundraising edges. Ratings from nonpartisan forecasters classify the race as Solid or Likely Democratic, reflecting limited turnover risk absent major national shifts. Upcoming filing deadlines and primary outcomes remain the next potential catalysts for any adjustment in implied probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/04
民主党
90%
共和党
12%
新規
新規
2026/11/04
民主党
$753 Vol.
90%
共和党
$170 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Kim Schrier's established record and the district's modest Democratic lean underpin trader consensus favoring her party. Washington's 8th, encompassing eastern Seattle suburbs and areas beyond the Cascades, carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+3, placing it among the more competitive yet reliably Democratic seats in the state. Multiple Republican challengers have entered the August 2026 top-two primary, yet none have emerged with broad momentum or significant fundraising edges. Ratings from nonpartisan forecasters classify the race as Solid or Likely Democratic, reflecting limited turnover risk absent major national shifts. Upcoming filing deadlines and primary outcomes remain the next potential catalysts for any adjustment in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
音量
$924終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Kim Schrier's established record and the district's modest Democratic lean underpin trader consensus favoring her party. Washington's 8th, encompassing eastern Seattle suburbs and areas beyond the Cascades, carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+3, placing it among the more competitive yet reliably Democratic seats in the state. Multiple Republican challengers have entered the August 2026 top-two primary, yet none have emerged with broad momentum or significant fundraising edges. Ratings from nonpartisan forecasters classify the race as Solid or Likely Democratic, reflecting limited turnover risk absent major national shifts. Upcoming filing deadlines and primary outcomes remain the next potential catalysts for any adjustment in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$924終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Kim Schrier's established record and the district's modest Democratic lean underpin trader consensus favoring her party. Washington's 8th, encompassing eastern Seattle suburbs and areas beyond the Cascades, carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+3, placing it among the more competitive yet reliably Democratic seats in the state. Multiple Republican challengers have entered the August 2026 top-two primary, yet none have emerged with broad momentum or significant fundraising edges. Ratings from nonpartisan forecasters classify the race as Solid or Likely Democratic, reflecting limited turnover risk absent major national shifts. Upcoming filing deadlines and primary outcomes remain the next potential catalysts for any adjustment in implied probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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