Incumbent Democrat Kim Schrier's commanding position in Washington's 8th congressional district stems from her established record, the district's consistent Democratic lean in recent cycles, and strong primary performance where she captured over 53 percent of the vote. Recent race ratings from nonpartisan analysts classify the seat as Solid or Likely Democratic, reflecting limited Republican competitiveness in the general election matchup against Spencer Meline. Trader consensus at 95 percent for Democrats aligns with this structural advantage and the absence of major disruptive events. A significant national political realignment, unexpected scandal, or sharp change in voter turnout patterns would be required to meaningfully alter the outcome before November 2026.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$15,246 Vol.
$15,246 Vol.
2026/11/04
民主党
95%
共和党
5%
$15,246 Vol.
$15,246 Vol.
2026/11/04
民主党
$8,445 Vol.
95%
共和党
$6,801 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Kim Schrier's commanding position in Washington's 8th congressional district stems from her established record, the district's consistent Democratic lean in recent cycles, and strong primary performance where she captured over 53 percent of the vote. Recent race ratings from nonpartisan analysts classify the seat as Solid or Likely Democratic, reflecting limited Republican competitiveness in the general election matchup against Spencer Meline. Trader consensus at 95 percent for Democrats aligns with this structural advantage and the absence of major disruptive events. A significant national political realignment, unexpected scandal, or sharp change in voter turnout patterns would be required to meaningfully alter the outcome before November 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
音量
$15,246終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Kim Schrier's commanding position in Washington's 8th congressional district stems from her established record, the district's consistent Democratic lean in recent cycles, and strong primary performance where she captured over 53 percent of the vote. Recent race ratings from nonpartisan analysts classify the seat as Solid or Likely Democratic, reflecting limited Republican competitiveness in the general election matchup against Spencer Meline. Trader consensus at 95 percent for Democrats aligns with this structural advantage and the absence of major disruptive events. A significant national political realignment, unexpected scandal, or sharp change in voter turnout patterns would be required to meaningfully alter the outcome before November 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$15,246終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Kim Schrier's commanding position in Washington's 8th congressional district stems from her established record, the district's consistent Democratic lean in recent cycles, and strong primary performance where she captured over 53 percent of the vote. Recent race ratings from nonpartisan analysts classify the seat as Solid or Likely Democratic, reflecting limited Republican competitiveness in the general election matchup against Spencer Meline. Trader consensus at 95 percent for Democrats aligns with this structural advantage and the absence of major disruptive events. A significant national political realignment, unexpected scandal, or sharp change in voter turnout patterns would be required to meaningfully alter the outcome before November 2026.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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