Incumbent Democrat Pramila Jayapal's recent filing for a sixth term solidifies trader consensus at 95.5% for a Democratic Party win in WA-07, a deep-blue district with D+39 partisan voter index where Kamala Harris took 86% in 2024. Jayapal dominated prior cycles with 84% margins, boasting $2 million cash-on-hand post-May 8 filing deadline, dwarfing challengers including underfunded Republican Nirav Sheth and Democrat Gwen Kirkland. The August 4 top-two primary likely advances two Democrats, ensuring a party hold in this safe Democratic seat per Cook and Sabato ratings. Realistic challenges require a Jayapal scandal, dropout, or extraordinary national Republican wave flipping Seattle-area turnout.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
96%
共和党
6%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
$3,256 Vol.
96%
共和党
$1,753 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Pramila Jayapal's recent filing for a sixth term solidifies trader consensus at 95.5% for a Democratic Party win in WA-07, a deep-blue district with D+39 partisan voter index where Kamala Harris took 86% in 2024. Jayapal dominated prior cycles with 84% margins, boasting $2 million cash-on-hand post-May 8 filing deadline, dwarfing challengers including underfunded Republican Nirav Sheth and Democrat Gwen Kirkland. The August 4 top-two primary likely advances two Democrats, ensuring a party hold in this safe Democratic seat per Cook and Sabato ratings. Realistic challenges require a Jayapal scandal, dropout, or extraordinary national Republican wave flipping Seattle-area turnout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$5,009終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Pramila Jayapal's recent filing for a sixth term solidifies trader consensus at 95.5% for a Democratic Party win in WA-07, a deep-blue district with D+39 partisan voter index where Kamala Harris took 86% in 2024. Jayapal dominated prior cycles with 84% margins, boasting $2 million cash-on-hand post-May 8 filing deadline, dwarfing challengers including underfunded Republican Nirav Sheth and Democrat Gwen Kirkland. The August 4 top-two primary likely advances two Democrats, ensuring a party hold in this safe Democratic seat per Cook and Sabato ratings. Realistic challenges require a Jayapal scandal, dropout, or extraordinary national Republican wave flipping Seattle-area turnout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$5,009終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Pramila Jayapal's recent filing for a sixth term solidifies trader consensus at 95.5% for a Democratic Party win in WA-07, a deep-blue district with D+39 partisan voter index where Kamala Harris took 86% in 2024. Jayapal dominated prior cycles with 84% margins, boasting $2 million cash-on-hand post-May 8 filing deadline, dwarfing challengers including underfunded Republican Nirav Sheth and Democrat Gwen Kirkland. The August 4 top-two primary likely advances two Democrats, ensuring a party hold in this safe Democratic seat per Cook and Sabato ratings. Realistic challenges require a Jayapal scandal, dropout, or extraordinary national Republican wave flipping Seattle-area turnout.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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