Trader consensus prices Democrats at 77.5% to win Michigan's 7th Congressional District House seat, reflecting incumbent Republican Tom Barrett's narrow 50.3% 2024 victory in an even-partisan battleground (Trump +1%) amid GOP's slim 217-212 House majority vulnerable to midterm headwinds historically punishing the president's party. The district's toss-up ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball underscore competitiveness, yet bettors favor Democratic recruitment strength, including former Ambassador Bridget Brink and progressive Will Lawrence—recently endorsed by Rep. Rashida Tlaib on May 13—in a crowded August 4 primary where a March Strategic National poll showed 85% undecided voters. Barrett faces no GOP primary opposition, but national trends and early internal Democratic polling signaling viability have boosted odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/04
民主党
80%
共和党
16%
新規
新規
2026/11/04
民主党
$4,478 Vol.
80%
共和党
$1,912 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus prices Democrats at 77.5% to win Michigan's 7th Congressional District House seat, reflecting incumbent Republican Tom Barrett's narrow 50.3% 2024 victory in an even-partisan battleground (Trump +1%) amid GOP's slim 217-212 House majority vulnerable to midterm headwinds historically punishing the president's party. The district's toss-up ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball underscore competitiveness, yet bettors favor Democratic recruitment strength, including former Ambassador Bridget Brink and progressive Will Lawrence—recently endorsed by Rep. Rashida Tlaib on May 13—in a crowded August 4 primary where a March Strategic National poll showed 85% undecided voters. Barrett faces no GOP primary opposition, but national trends and early internal Democratic polling signaling viability have boosted odds.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ET
音量
$6,390終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus prices Democrats at 77.5% to win Michigan's 7th Congressional District House seat, reflecting incumbent Republican Tom Barrett's narrow 50.3% 2024 victory in an even-partisan battleground (Trump +1%) amid GOP's slim 217-212 House majority vulnerable to midterm headwinds historically punishing the president's party. The district's toss-up ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball underscore competitiveness, yet bettors favor Democratic recruitment strength, including former Ambassador Bridget Brink and progressive Will Lawrence—recently endorsed by Rep. Rashida Tlaib on May 13—in a crowded August 4 primary where a March Strategic National poll showed 85% undecided voters. Barrett faces no GOP primary opposition, but national trends and early internal Democratic polling signaling viability have boosted odds.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$6,390終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices Democrats at 77.5% to win Michigan's 7th Congressional District House seat, reflecting incumbent Republican Tom Barrett's narrow 50.3% 2024 victory in an even-partisan battleground (Trump +1%) amid GOP's slim 217-212 House majority vulnerable to midterm headwinds historically punishing the president's party. The district's toss-up ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball underscore competitiveness, yet bettors favor Democratic recruitment strength, including former Ambassador Bridget Brink and progressive Will Lawrence—recently endorsed by Rep. Rashida Tlaib on May 13—in a crowded August 4 primary where a March Strategic National poll showed 85% undecided voters. Barrett faces no GOP primary opposition, but national trends and early internal Democratic polling signaling viability have boosted odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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