Incumbent Republican Michael Rulli secured the nomination in the May 2026 primary with roughly 76-78 percent of the vote, advancing to face Democrat Elizabeth Kirtley in the November general election for Ohio’s 6th congressional district. The seat covers rural Appalachian areas and parts of the Mahoning Valley, where Republicans have held consistent advantages in recent cycles, including Rulli’s 2024 victory by a wide margin. Redistricting changes implemented in 2025 preserved the district’s partisan lean, limiting Democratic prospects in a low-turnout midterm environment. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing assigns the Republican nominee a commanding lead, consistent with the seat’s structural and historical patterns. Late developments such as an unexpected scandal, candidate health event, or sharp national political shift remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日OH-06 House Election Winner
OH-06 House Election Winner
$23,947 Vol.
$23,947 Vol.
2026/11/03
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
7%
$23,947 Vol.
$23,947 Vol.
2026/11/03
Republican Party
$12,922 Vol.
94%
Democratic Party
$11,025 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Michael Rulli secured the nomination in the May 2026 primary with roughly 76-78 percent of the vote, advancing to face Democrat Elizabeth Kirtley in the November general election for Ohio’s 6th congressional district. The seat covers rural Appalachian areas and parts of the Mahoning Valley, where Republicans have held consistent advantages in recent cycles, including Rulli’s 2024 victory by a wide margin. Redistricting changes implemented in 2025 preserved the district’s partisan lean, limiting Democratic prospects in a low-turnout midterm environment. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing assigns the Republican nominee a commanding lead, consistent with the seat’s structural and historical patterns. Late developments such as an unexpected scandal, candidate health event, or sharp national political shift remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$23,947終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Michael Rulli secured the nomination in the May 2026 primary with roughly 76-78 percent of the vote, advancing to face Democrat Elizabeth Kirtley in the November general election for Ohio’s 6th congressional district. The seat covers rural Appalachian areas and parts of the Mahoning Valley, where Republicans have held consistent advantages in recent cycles, including Rulli’s 2024 victory by a wide margin. Redistricting changes implemented in 2025 preserved the district’s partisan lean, limiting Democratic prospects in a low-turnout midterm environment. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing assigns the Republican nominee a commanding lead, consistent with the seat’s structural and historical patterns. Late developments such as an unexpected scandal, candidate health event, or sharp national political shift remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$23,947終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Michael Rulli secured the nomination in the May 2026 primary with roughly 76-78 percent of the vote, advancing to face Democrat Elizabeth Kirtley in the November general election for Ohio’s 6th congressional district. The seat covers rural Appalachian areas and parts of the Mahoning Valley, where Republicans have held consistent advantages in recent cycles, including Rulli’s 2024 victory by a wide margin. Redistricting changes implemented in 2025 preserved the district’s partisan lean, limiting Democratic prospects in a low-turnout midterm environment. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing assigns the Republican nominee a commanding lead, consistent with the seat’s structural and historical patterns. Late developments such as an unexpected scandal, candidate health event, or sharp national political shift remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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