Florida's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, with incumbent Aaron Bean advancing unopposed through the canceled GOP primary for the November 2026 general election. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Likely Republican based on prior results and partisan composition, limiting Democratic prospects despite the August 18 primary featuring LaShonda Holloway, Michael Kirwan, and Brittney Robinson. Trader consensus at roughly 80% for Republicans aligns with the absence of competitive challengers, low national attention, and Florida's broader electoral patterns that favor the party holding the seat. Late primary outcomes or turnout shifts could introduce modest volatility before the general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$22,249 Vol.
$22,249 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
80%
民主党
20%
$22,249 Vol.
$22,249 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$13,527 Vol.
80%
民主党
$8,722 Vol.
20%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, with incumbent Aaron Bean advancing unopposed through the canceled GOP primary for the November 2026 general election. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Likely Republican based on prior results and partisan composition, limiting Democratic prospects despite the August 18 primary featuring LaShonda Holloway, Michael Kirwan, and Brittney Robinson. Trader consensus at roughly 80% for Republicans aligns with the absence of competitive challengers, low national attention, and Florida's broader electoral patterns that favor the party holding the seat. Late primary outcomes or turnout shifts could introduce modest volatility before the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
音量
$22,249終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, with incumbent Aaron Bean advancing unopposed through the canceled GOP primary for the November 2026 general election. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Likely Republican based on prior results and partisan composition, limiting Democratic prospects despite the August 18 primary featuring LaShonda Holloway, Michael Kirwan, and Brittney Robinson. Trader consensus at roughly 80% for Republicans aligns with the absence of competitive challengers, low national attention, and Florida's broader electoral patterns that favor the party holding the seat. Late primary outcomes or turnout shifts could introduce modest volatility before the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$22,249終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, with incumbent Aaron Bean advancing unopposed through the canceled GOP primary for the November 2026 general election. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Likely Republican based on prior results and partisan composition, limiting Democratic prospects despite the August 18 primary featuring LaShonda Holloway, Michael Kirwan, and Brittney Robinson. Trader consensus at roughly 80% for Republicans aligns with the absence of competitive challengers, low national attention, and Florida's broader electoral patterns that favor the party holding the seat. Late primary outcomes or turnout shifts could introduce modest volatility before the general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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