Mark Pocan’s long tenure as the Democratic incumbent in Wisconsin’s 2nd district, combined with the area’s consistent Democratic voting patterns around Madison and surrounding counties, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring a Democratic hold. The district carries a heavily Democratic partisan voting index, and Pocan secured roughly 70 percent in the prior cycle with minimal opposition. Ratings from nonpartisan analysts classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting limited Republican recruitment and fundraising. The August 11 Democratic primary, featuring Pocan against a lesser-known challenger, is expected to clear the path for the general election. A late scandal, health development, or national environment producing an unprecedented Republican surge could theoretically alter the outcome, though structural factors make such shifts improbable before November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$99,749 Vol.
$99,749 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
95%
共和党
2%
$99,749 Vol.
$99,749 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$60,468 Vol.
95%
共和党
$39,281 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mark Pocan’s long tenure as the Democratic incumbent in Wisconsin’s 2nd district, combined with the area’s consistent Democratic voting patterns around Madison and surrounding counties, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring a Democratic hold. The district carries a heavily Democratic partisan voting index, and Pocan secured roughly 70 percent in the prior cycle with minimal opposition. Ratings from nonpartisan analysts classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting limited Republican recruitment and fundraising. The August 11 Democratic primary, featuring Pocan against a lesser-known challenger, is expected to clear the path for the general election. A late scandal, health development, or national environment producing an unprecedented Republican surge could theoretically alter the outcome, though structural factors make such shifts improbable before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$99,749終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mark Pocan’s long tenure as the Democratic incumbent in Wisconsin’s 2nd district, combined with the area’s consistent Democratic voting patterns around Madison and surrounding counties, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring a Democratic hold. The district carries a heavily Democratic partisan voting index, and Pocan secured roughly 70 percent in the prior cycle with minimal opposition. Ratings from nonpartisan analysts classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting limited Republican recruitment and fundraising. The August 11 Democratic primary, featuring Pocan against a lesser-known challenger, is expected to clear the path for the general election. A late scandal, health development, or national environment producing an unprecedented Republican surge could theoretically alter the outcome, though structural factors make such shifts improbable before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$99,749終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mark Pocan’s long tenure as the Democratic incumbent in Wisconsin’s 2nd district, combined with the area’s consistent Democratic voting patterns around Madison and surrounding counties, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring a Democratic hold. The district carries a heavily Democratic partisan voting index, and Pocan secured roughly 70 percent in the prior cycle with minimal opposition. Ratings from nonpartisan analysts classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting limited Republican recruitment and fundraising. The August 11 Democratic primary, featuring Pocan against a lesser-known challenger, is expected to clear the path for the general election. A late scandal, health development, or national environment producing an unprecedented Republican surge could theoretically alter the outcome, though structural factors make such shifts improbable before November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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