Recent developments center on the August 11, 2026, Democratic primary, where Rebecca Cooke defeated Emily Berge to secure the nomination for a rematch against incumbent Republican Derrick Van Orden in Wisconsin’s 3rd congressional district. The seat, rated highly competitive by analysts with a Republican-leaning partisan voting index, saw Cooke raise more funds than Van Orden ahead of the general election while a mid-2026 internal poll showed her holding a narrow lead. Van Orden won reelection by under three points in 2024, and the district’s mix of rural and mid-sized communities in the Driftless Area keeps both parties focused on turnout and swing voters. These factors have shaped trader consensus around the Democratic nominee’s position entering the fall campaign.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/04
民主党
73%
共和党
29%
新規
新規
2026/11/04
民主党
$2,433 Vol.
73%
共和党
$1,464 Vol.
29%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent developments center on the August 11, 2026, Democratic primary, where Rebecca Cooke defeated Emily Berge to secure the nomination for a rematch against incumbent Republican Derrick Van Orden in Wisconsin’s 3rd congressional district. The seat, rated highly competitive by analysts with a Republican-leaning partisan voting index, saw Cooke raise more funds than Van Orden ahead of the general election while a mid-2026 internal poll showed her holding a narrow lead. Van Orden won reelection by under three points in 2024, and the district’s mix of rural and mid-sized communities in the Driftless Area keeps both parties focused on turnout and swing voters. These factors have shaped trader consensus around the Democratic nominee’s position entering the fall campaign.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
音量
$3,896終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent developments center on the August 11, 2026, Democratic primary, where Rebecca Cooke defeated Emily Berge to secure the nomination for a rematch against incumbent Republican Derrick Van Orden in Wisconsin’s 3rd congressional district. The seat, rated highly competitive by analysts with a Republican-leaning partisan voting index, saw Cooke raise more funds than Van Orden ahead of the general election while a mid-2026 internal poll showed her holding a narrow lead. Van Orden won reelection by under three points in 2024, and the district’s mix of rural and mid-sized communities in the Driftless Area keeps both parties focused on turnout and swing voters. These factors have shaped trader consensus around the Democratic nominee’s position entering the fall campaign.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$3,896終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent developments center on the August 11, 2026, Democratic primary, where Rebecca Cooke defeated Emily Berge to secure the nomination for a rematch against incumbent Republican Derrick Van Orden in Wisconsin’s 3rd congressional district. The seat, rated highly competitive by analysts with a Republican-leaning partisan voting index, saw Cooke raise more funds than Van Orden ahead of the general election while a mid-2026 internal poll showed her holding a narrow lead. Van Orden won reelection by under three points in 2024, and the district’s mix of rural and mid-sized communities in the Driftless Area keeps both parties focused on turnout and swing voters. These factors have shaped trader consensus around the Democratic nominee’s position entering the fall campaign.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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