The WI-01 race remains closely contested in trader pricing due to the district's narrow Republican lean (Cook Political Report rates it Likely Republican with a PVI of R+2) and Democratic recruitment of multiple primary candidates ahead of the August 11, 2026, contests. Incumbent Bryan Steil faces a Republican primary challenge while Democrats including Mitchell Berman (who reported over $500,000 raised) and others such as Miguel Aranda and Lorenzo Santos compete to oppose him in the November general election. The filing deadline passed June 1 with a crowded Democratic field and limited recent polling, leaving the outcome sensitive to primary results, candidate consolidation, national midterm dynamics, and turnout patterns in this southeastern Wisconsin seat last won by Republicans by roughly 8 points.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/04
共和党
54%
民主党
42%
新規
新規
2026/11/04
共和党
$1,282 Vol.
54%
民主党
$1,355 Vol.
42%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The WI-01 race remains closely contested in trader pricing due to the district's narrow Republican lean (Cook Political Report rates it Likely Republican with a PVI of R+2) and Democratic recruitment of multiple primary candidates ahead of the August 11, 2026, contests. Incumbent Bryan Steil faces a Republican primary challenge while Democrats including Mitchell Berman (who reported over $500,000 raised) and others such as Miguel Aranda and Lorenzo Santos compete to oppose him in the November general election. The filing deadline passed June 1 with a crowded Democratic field and limited recent polling, leaving the outcome sensitive to primary results, candidate consolidation, national midterm dynamics, and turnout patterns in this southeastern Wisconsin seat last won by Republicans by roughly 8 points.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
音量
$2,637終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The WI-01 race remains closely contested in trader pricing due to the district's narrow Republican lean (Cook Political Report rates it Likely Republican with a PVI of R+2) and Democratic recruitment of multiple primary candidates ahead of the August 11, 2026, contests. Incumbent Bryan Steil faces a Republican primary challenge while Democrats including Mitchell Berman (who reported over $500,000 raised) and others such as Miguel Aranda and Lorenzo Santos compete to oppose him in the November general election. The filing deadline passed June 1 with a crowded Democratic field and limited recent polling, leaving the outcome sensitive to primary results, candidate consolidation, national midterm dynamics, and turnout patterns in this southeastern Wisconsin seat last won by Republicans by roughly 8 points.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$2,637終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The WI-01 race remains closely contested in trader pricing due to the district's narrow Republican lean (Cook Political Report rates it Likely Republican with a PVI of R+2) and Democratic recruitment of multiple primary candidates ahead of the August 11, 2026, contests. Incumbent Bryan Steil faces a Republican primary challenge while Democrats including Mitchell Berman (who reported over $500,000 raised) and others such as Miguel Aranda and Lorenzo Santos compete to oppose him in the November general election. The filing deadline passed June 1 with a crowded Democratic field and limited recent polling, leaving the outcome sensitive to primary results, candidate consolidation, national midterm dynamics, and turnout patterns in this southeastern Wisconsin seat last won by Republicans by roughly 8 points.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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