Incumbent Republican Bryan Steil faces Democrat Mitchell Berman in Wisconsin’s 1st congressional district general election on November 3, 2026. Steil, who won reelection comfortably in 2024, advanced unopposed in the August 11 Republican primary, while Berman secured the Democratic nomination with 44 percent in a four-way contest. Race forecasters rate the seat Likely Republican, citing the district’s partisan lean—where Donald Trump carried it by roughly six points in 2024—Steil’s substantial fundraising edge exceeding $4 million in cash on hand, and his established incumbency in the southeastern manufacturing and suburban areas. A late-August poll showed the candidates nearly tied among likely voters, underscoring the seat’s potential competitiveness in a national environment, yet the Republican baseline and structural advantages keep trader consensus on a GOP hold.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
71%
民主党
30%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
$5,285 Vol.
71%
民主党
$4,669 Vol.
30%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Bryan Steil faces Democrat Mitchell Berman in Wisconsin’s 1st congressional district general election on November 3, 2026. Steil, who won reelection comfortably in 2024, advanced unopposed in the August 11 Republican primary, while Berman secured the Democratic nomination with 44 percent in a four-way contest. Race forecasters rate the seat Likely Republican, citing the district’s partisan lean—where Donald Trump carried it by roughly six points in 2024—Steil’s substantial fundraising edge exceeding $4 million in cash on hand, and his established incumbency in the southeastern manufacturing and suburban areas. A late-August poll showed the candidates nearly tied among likely voters, underscoring the seat’s potential competitiveness in a national environment, yet the Republican baseline and structural advantages keep trader consensus on a GOP hold.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
音量
$9,954終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Bryan Steil faces Democrat Mitchell Berman in Wisconsin’s 1st congressional district general election on November 3, 2026. Steil, who won reelection comfortably in 2024, advanced unopposed in the August 11 Republican primary, while Berman secured the Democratic nomination with 44 percent in a four-way contest. Race forecasters rate the seat Likely Republican, citing the district’s partisan lean—where Donald Trump carried it by roughly six points in 2024—Steil’s substantial fundraising edge exceeding $4 million in cash on hand, and his established incumbency in the southeastern manufacturing and suburban areas. A late-August poll showed the candidates nearly tied among likely voters, underscoring the seat’s potential competitiveness in a national environment, yet the Republican baseline and structural advantages keep trader consensus on a GOP hold.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$9,954終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Bryan Steil faces Democrat Mitchell Berman in Wisconsin’s 1st congressional district general election on November 3, 2026. Steil, who won reelection comfortably in 2024, advanced unopposed in the August 11 Republican primary, while Berman secured the Democratic nomination with 44 percent in a four-way contest. Race forecasters rate the seat Likely Republican, citing the district’s partisan lean—where Donald Trump carried it by roughly six points in 2024—Steil’s substantial fundraising edge exceeding $4 million in cash on hand, and his established incumbency in the southeastern manufacturing and suburban areas. A late-August poll showed the candidates nearly tied among likely voters, underscoring the seat’s potential competitiveness in a national environment, yet the Republican baseline and structural advantages keep trader consensus on a GOP hold.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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