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icon for CT -01民主党予備選挙優勝者
選挙·中間選考

CT -01民主党予備選挙優勝者

icon for CT -01民主党予備選挙優勝者
選挙·中間選考

CT -01民主党予備選挙優勝者

Luke Bronin 96.6%

Mark Stewart Greenstein <1%

Jillian Gilchrest <1%

John Larson <1%

Polymarket

$73,672 Vol.

Luke Bronin 96.6%

Mark Stewart Greenstein <1%

Jillian Gilchrest <1%

John Larson <1%

Polymarket

$73,672 Vol.

icon for Mark Stewart Greenstein

Mark Stewart Greenstein

$2,239 Vol.

No

icon for Jillian Gilchrest

Jillian Gilchrest

$3,928 Vol.

No

icon for John Larson

John Larson

$34,110 Vol.

No

icon for Ruth Fortune

Ruth Fortune

$2,203 Vol.

No

icon for Luke Bronin

Luke Bronin

$31,193 Vol.

Yes

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former Hartford Mayor Luke Bronin secured the Democratic Party endorsement in May and built substantial momentum through fundraising, convention support, and voter preference for generational turnover against 14-term incumbent John Larson in Connecticut’s 1st District. Recent primary results show Bronin prevailing over Larson along with challengers Jillian Gilchrest and Ruth Fortune, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the 96.6% implied probability. This positioning stems from established party backing and polling trends favoring change. Remaining uncertainty could stem from delayed certification, provisional ballot reviews, or unforeseen legal challenges, though historical patterns for called congressional primaries indicate rapid finalization absent major irregularities.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$73,672
終了日
2026/08/11
マーケット開始日
Feb 26, 2026, 5:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

提案された結果: No

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: No

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former Hartford Mayor Luke Bronin secured the Democratic Party endorsement in May and built substantial momentum through fundraising, convention support, and voter preference for generational turnover against 14-term incumbent John Larson in Connecticut’s 1st District. Recent primary results show Bronin prevailing over Larson along with challengers Jillian Gilchrest and Ruth Fortune, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the 96.6% implied probability. This positioning stems from established party backing and polling trends favoring change. Remaining uncertainty could stem from delayed certification, provisional ballot reviews, or unforeseen legal challenges, though historical patterns for called congressional primaries indicate rapid finalization absent major irregularities.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$73,672
終了日
2026/08/11
マーケット開始日
Feb 26, 2026, 5:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

提案された結果: No

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: No

関連

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リチャード・ニールはMA-01の民主党候補者になりますか？

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はい
icon for ステファニー・シェーンはNH-01の民主党候補者になるでしょうか？

ステファニー・シェーンはNH-01の民主党候補者になるでしょうか？

81%
はい
icon for 民主党はCT-01下院議席を獲得しますか？

民主党はCT-01下院議席を獲得しますか？

94%
はい

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「CT -01民主党予備選挙優勝者」はPolymarket上の5個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Luke Bronin」で100%、次いで「Mark Stewart Greenstein」が0%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、100¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「CT -01民主党予備選挙優勝者」は$73.7Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Feb 26, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「CT -01民主党予備選挙優勝者」で取引するには、このページに記載されている5個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「CT -01民主党予備選挙優勝者」の現在のフロントランナーは「Luke Bronin」で100%であり、市場がこの結果に100%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「Mark Stewart Greenstein」で0%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「CT -01民主党予備選挙優勝者」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。