Incumbent Democrat Joe Neguse faces Republican Kelley Dennison in Colorado’s 2nd congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district’s consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, including Neguse’s 68 percent margin in 2024, underpins the 95 percent trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Neguse advanced unopposed through the June 30 primary, while Dennison secured the Republican nomination in a low-profile contest. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting limited competitive pressure and the incumbent’s established position. Scenarios that could still shift probabilities include major national political realignments, late-campaign developments, or unusually high Republican turnout in the northwest Denver suburbs and Front Range areas.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$40,350 Vol.
$40,350 Vol.
民主党
95%
共和党
4%
$40,350 Vol.
$40,350 Vol.
民主党
95%
共和党
4%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Joe Neguse faces Republican Kelley Dennison in Colorado’s 2nd congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district’s consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, including Neguse’s 68 percent margin in 2024, underpins the 95 percent trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Neguse advanced unopposed through the June 30 primary, while Dennison secured the Republican nomination in a low-profile contest. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting limited competitive pressure and the incumbent’s established position. Scenarios that could still shift probabilities include major national political realignments, late-campaign developments, or unusually high Republican turnout in the northwest Denver suburbs and Front Range areas.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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