Colorado's 1st Congressional District, an urban Denver stronghold with a partisan lean exceeding D+25, has not elected a Republican since 1971, anchoring trader consensus at 92.5% for a Democratic House winner on November 3, 2026. Incumbent Rep. Diana DeGette faces a contested Democratic primary on June 30 against challengers Melat Kiros, who led at the March district assembly, and Wanda James, but the victor remains a prohibitive general election favorite absent a major upset. No prominent Republican nominee has emerged, reinforcing the district's safe status. Odds could shift via post-primary scandals, nominee health issues, or an unforeseen national Republican midterm wave, though historical precedents suggest low likelihood.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$12,559 Vol.
$12,559 Vol.
民主党
93%
共和党
8%
$12,559 Vol.
$12,559 Vol.
民主党
93%
共和党
8%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Colorado's 1st Congressional District, an urban Denver stronghold with a partisan lean exceeding D+25, has not elected a Republican since 1971, anchoring trader consensus at 92.5% for a Democratic House winner on November 3, 2026. Incumbent Rep. Diana DeGette faces a contested Democratic primary on June 30 against challengers Melat Kiros, who led at the March district assembly, and Wanda James, but the victor remains a prohibitive general election favorite absent a major upset. No prominent Republican nominee has emerged, reinforcing the district's safe status. Odds could shift via post-primary scandals, nominee health issues, or an unforeseen national Republican midterm wave, though historical precedents suggest low likelihood.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問