Incumbent Republican Michael Guest secured the nomination unopposed in the March 10, 2026, primary for Mississippi's 3rd Congressional District, facing Democrat Michael Chiaradio, a first-time candidate who also advanced without opposition. This solidly Republican district, rated as such by the Cook Political Report, has consistently delivered large GOP margins—Guest won by over 40 points in recent cycles—bolstering trader consensus at 92.5% for a Republican victory ahead of the November 3 general election. The novice challenger's limited resources and name recognition reinforce the status quo, though late-breaking scandals, Guest's health issues, or a national Democratic wave could narrow the gap.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$28,614 Vol.
$28,614 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
92%
民主党
5%
$28,614 Vol.
$28,614 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$6,190 Vol.
92%
民主党
$22,424 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Michael Guest secured the nomination unopposed in the March 10, 2026, primary for Mississippi's 3rd Congressional District, facing Democrat Michael Chiaradio, a first-time candidate who also advanced without opposition. This solidly Republican district, rated as such by the Cook Political Report, has consistently delivered large GOP margins—Guest won by over 40 points in recent cycles—bolstering trader consensus at 92.5% for a Republican victory ahead of the November 3 general election. The novice challenger's limited resources and name recognition reinforce the status quo, though late-breaking scandals, Guest's health issues, or a national Democratic wave could narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
音量
$28,614終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Michael Guest secured the nomination unopposed in the March 10, 2026, primary for Mississippi's 3rd Congressional District, facing Democrat Michael Chiaradio, a first-time candidate who also advanced without opposition. This solidly Republican district, rated as such by the Cook Political Report, has consistently delivered large GOP margins—Guest won by over 40 points in recent cycles—bolstering trader consensus at 92.5% for a Republican victory ahead of the November 3 general election. The novice challenger's limited resources and name recognition reinforce the status quo, though late-breaking scandals, Guest's health issues, or a national Democratic wave could narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$28,614終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Michael Guest secured the nomination unopposed in the March 10, 2026, primary for Mississippi's 3rd Congressional District, facing Democrat Michael Chiaradio, a first-time candidate who also advanced without opposition. This solidly Republican district, rated as such by the Cook Political Report, has consistently delivered large GOP margins—Guest won by over 40 points in recent cycles—bolstering trader consensus at 92.5% for a Republican victory ahead of the November 3 general election. The novice challenger's limited resources and name recognition reinforce the status quo, though late-breaking scandals, Guest's health issues, or a national Democratic wave could narrow the gap.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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