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icon for NH -01民主党予備選挙優勝者
選挙·プライマリ

NH -01民主党予備選挙優勝者

icon for NH -01民主党予備選挙優勝者
選挙·プライマリ

NH -01民主党予備選挙優勝者

ステファニー・シェーン 61%

マウラ・サリバン 27%

カーリー・ベリオント 7%

ヒース・ハワード 6.0%

Polymarket

$13,873 Vol.

ステファニー・シェーン 61%

マウラ・サリバン 27%

カーリー・ベリオント 7%

ヒース・ハワード 6.0%

Polymarket

$13,873 Vol.

ステファニー・シェーン

$8,409 Vol.

61%

マウラ・サリバン

$3,518 Vol.

27%

カーリー・ベリオント

$1,448 Vol.

7%

ヒース・ハワード

$498 Vol.

7%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus favors Stefany Shaheen at 60.5% implied probability to win New Hampshire's 1st Congressional District Democratic primary on September 8, driven by her consistent polling lead—including a January University of New Hampshire survey showing 33% support among likely voters versus Maura Sullivan's 8% and Heath Howard's 10%—and endorsements from every Democratic mayor in the district. Sullivan trails at 26% amid strong Q1 fundraising dominance, with $1.48 million cash on hand as of March 31, bolstering her Marine veteran credentials and Obama administration experience. Recent Manchester forums highlighted debates on health care and foreign policy, while high undecideds in polls leave room for shifts ahead of the open-seat contest left by Chris Pappas's Senate bid.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$13,873
終了日
2026/09/08
マーケット開始日
Nov 25, 2025, 4:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus favors Stefany Shaheen at 60.5% implied probability to win New Hampshire's 1st Congressional District Democratic primary on September 8, driven by her consistent polling lead—including a January University of New Hampshire survey showing 33% support among likely voters versus Maura Sullivan's 8% and Heath Howard's 10%—and endorsements from every Democratic mayor in the district. Sullivan trails at 26% amid strong Q1 fundraising dominance, with $1.48 million cash on hand as of March 31, bolstering her Marine veteran credentials and Obama administration experience. Recent Manchester forums highlighted debates on health care and foreign policy, while high undecideds in polls leave room for shifts ahead of the open-seat contest left by Chris Pappas's Senate bid.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$13,873
終了日
2026/09/08
マーケット開始日
Nov 25, 2025, 4:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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よくある質問

「NH -01民主党予備選挙優勝者」はPolymarket上の4個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「ステファニー・シェーン」で61%、次いで「マウラ・サリバン」が27%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、61¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に61%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「NH -01民主党予備選挙優勝者」は$13.9Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Nov 25, 2025のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「NH -01民主党予備選挙優勝者」で取引するには、このページに記載されている4個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「NH -01民主党予備選挙優勝者」の現在のフロントランナーは「ステファニー・シェーン」で61%であり、市場がこの結果に61%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「マウラ・サリバン」で27%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「NH -01民主党予備選挙優勝者」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。