Oklahoma's 3rd Congressional District, with its R+23 Partisan Voter Index and history of lopsided Republican victories, anchors trader consensus at 93.5% for the Republican Party in the November 3 general election. Incumbent Frank Lucas, first elected in a 1994 special election, dominates with over $841,000 cash on hand as of March 2026, facing only perennial challenger Wade Burleson in the June 16 Republican primary after filings closed April 3. Democrats Suzie Byrd and Jules Roberson advance weakly funded bids in their primary, mirroring past uncompetitive generals where Lucas won outright or by 50+ points. While no major developments have emerged in the past 30 days, scenarios like a primary upset, late scandal, health issue for Lucas, or extreme national midterm wave could challenge this outlook.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$83,444 Vol.
$83,444 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
94%
民主党
4%
$83,444 Vol.
$83,444 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$46,081 Vol.
94%
民主党
$37,363 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oklahoma's 3rd Congressional District, with its R+23 Partisan Voter Index and history of lopsided Republican victories, anchors trader consensus at 93.5% for the Republican Party in the November 3 general election. Incumbent Frank Lucas, first elected in a 1994 special election, dominates with over $841,000 cash on hand as of March 2026, facing only perennial challenger Wade Burleson in the June 16 Republican primary after filings closed April 3. Democrats Suzie Byrd and Jules Roberson advance weakly funded bids in their primary, mirroring past uncompetitive generals where Lucas won outright or by 50+ points. While no major developments have emerged in the past 30 days, scenarios like a primary upset, late scandal, health issue for Lucas, or extreme national midterm wave could challenge this outlook.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$83,444終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oklahoma's 3rd Congressional District, with its R+23 Partisan Voter Index and history of lopsided Republican victories, anchors trader consensus at 93.5% for the Republican Party in the November 3 general election. Incumbent Frank Lucas, first elected in a 1994 special election, dominates with over $841,000 cash on hand as of March 2026, facing only perennial challenger Wade Burleson in the June 16 Republican primary after filings closed April 3. Democrats Suzie Byrd and Jules Roberson advance weakly funded bids in their primary, mirroring past uncompetitive generals where Lucas won outright or by 50+ points. While no major developments have emerged in the past 30 days, scenarios like a primary upset, late scandal, health issue for Lucas, or extreme national midterm wave could challenge this outlook.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$83,444終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Oklahoma's 3rd Congressional District, with its R+23 Partisan Voter Index and history of lopsided Republican victories, anchors trader consensus at 93.5% for the Republican Party in the November 3 general election. Incumbent Frank Lucas, first elected in a 1994 special election, dominates with over $841,000 cash on hand as of March 2026, facing only perennial challenger Wade Burleson in the June 16 Republican primary after filings closed April 3. Democrats Suzie Byrd and Jules Roberson advance weakly funded bids in their primary, mirroring past uncompetitive generals where Lucas won outright or by 50+ points. While no major developments have emerged in the past 30 days, scenarios like a primary upset, late scandal, health issue for Lucas, or extreme national midterm wave could challenge this outlook.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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