Incumbent Democrat Frederica Wilson seeks reelection in Florida's 24th Congressional District, a solidly Democratic seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+18, where she has won general elections by 68-76% margins since 2012. Recent trader consensus at 93.5% for a Democratic victory reflects weak Republican primary challengers Patricia Gonzalez and Imtiaz Mohammad, who hold minimal fundraising, alongside Wilson's strong cash-on-hand position exceeding $390,000. Despite her month-long House absence following major eye surgery—which fueled brief retirement speculation—Wilson reaffirmed her candidacy to allies and House Democratic Leader Hakeem Jeffries, hosting a Miami fundraiser this week. Barring a health crisis, Democratic primary upset, or late GOP recruit, the seat remains a safe hold ahead of the June 12 filing deadline and August 18 primaries.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$17,745 Vol.
$17,745 Vol.
民主党
94%
共和党
5%
$17,745 Vol.
$17,745 Vol.
民主党
94%
共和党
5%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日: Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Frederica Wilson seeks reelection in Florida's 24th Congressional District, a solidly Democratic seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+18, where she has won general elections by 68-76% margins since 2012. Recent trader consensus at 93.5% for a Democratic victory reflects weak Republican primary challengers Patricia Gonzalez and Imtiaz Mohammad, who hold minimal fundraising, alongside Wilson's strong cash-on-hand position exceeding $390,000. Despite her month-long House absence following major eye surgery—which fueled brief retirement speculation—Wilson reaffirmed her candidacy to allies and House Democratic Leader Hakeem Jeffries, hosting a Miami fundraiser this week. Barring a health crisis, Democratic primary upset, or late GOP recruit, the seat remains a safe hold ahead of the June 12 filing deadline and August 18 primaries.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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