Florida's 24th congressional district remains a deep Democratic stronghold, reflected in the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94 percent. Longtime incumbent Frederica Wilson announced her retirement earlier this year, creating an open seat that drew a crowded Democratic primary field ahead of the August 18 vote. Recent redistricting increased the statewide Republican advantage to roughly 24-4, yet left this Miami-area district's partisan composition largely intact, with historical margins exceeding 30 points. A single Republican candidate faces structural barriers including voter registration patterns and turnout dynamics. Low-probability shifts could arise from an unforeseen primary outcome producing a weakened general-election nominee or late-cycle external events altering national midterm conditions, though both remain distant from current pricing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$24,810 Vol.
$24,810 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
94%
共和党
3%
$24,810 Vol.
$24,810 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$10,100 Vol.
94%
共和党
$14,710 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 24th congressional district remains a deep Democratic stronghold, reflected in the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94 percent. Longtime incumbent Frederica Wilson announced her retirement earlier this year, creating an open seat that drew a crowded Democratic primary field ahead of the August 18 vote. Recent redistricting increased the statewide Republican advantage to roughly 24-4, yet left this Miami-area district's partisan composition largely intact, with historical margins exceeding 30 points. A single Republican candidate faces structural barriers including voter registration patterns and turnout dynamics. Low-probability shifts could arise from an unforeseen primary outcome producing a weakened general-election nominee or late-cycle external events altering national midterm conditions, though both remain distant from current pricing.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
音量
$24,810終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 24th congressional district remains a deep Democratic stronghold, reflected in the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94 percent. Longtime incumbent Frederica Wilson announced her retirement earlier this year, creating an open seat that drew a crowded Democratic primary field ahead of the August 18 vote. Recent redistricting increased the statewide Republican advantage to roughly 24-4, yet left this Miami-area district's partisan composition largely intact, with historical margins exceeding 30 points. A single Republican candidate faces structural barriers including voter registration patterns and turnout dynamics. Low-probability shifts could arise from an unforeseen primary outcome producing a weakened general-election nominee or late-cycle external events altering national midterm conditions, though both remain distant from current pricing.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$24,810終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 24th congressional district remains a deep Democratic stronghold, reflected in the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94 percent. Longtime incumbent Frederica Wilson announced her retirement earlier this year, creating an open seat that drew a crowded Democratic primary field ahead of the August 18 vote. Recent redistricting increased the statewide Republican advantage to roughly 24-4, yet left this Miami-area district's partisan composition largely intact, with historical margins exceeding 30 points. A single Republican candidate faces structural barriers including voter registration patterns and turnout dynamics. Low-probability shifts could arise from an unforeseen primary outcome producing a weakened general-election nominee or late-cycle external events altering national midterm conditions, though both remain distant from current pricing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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