The open seat created by longtime Democratic incumbent Frederica Wilson’s May 2026 retirement has not altered the underlying dynamics of Florida’s 24th congressional district, a Miami-area constituency with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of roughly D+18 and consistent double-digit Democratic margins in recent federal contests. Multiple Democratic candidates have entered the August primary, ensuring the nominee will face minimal general-election opposition in a district where registered Democrats hold a substantial edge and Republican performance has historically lagged. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that places the party above 94 percent. A realistic shift would require either an unusually divisive Democratic primary outcome or a national political environment that produces unprecedented Republican gains in deep-blue urban seats.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日FL-24 House Election Winner
FL-24 House Election Winner
$23,353 Vol.
$23,353 Vol.
2026/11/03
Democratic Party
83%
Republican Party
4%
$23,353 Vol.
$23,353 Vol.
2026/11/03
Democratic Party
$9,133 Vol.
83%
Republican Party
$14,220 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat created by longtime Democratic incumbent Frederica Wilson’s May 2026 retirement has not altered the underlying dynamics of Florida’s 24th congressional district, a Miami-area constituency with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of roughly D+18 and consistent double-digit Democratic margins in recent federal contests. Multiple Democratic candidates have entered the August primary, ensuring the nominee will face minimal general-election opposition in a district where registered Democrats hold a substantial edge and Republican performance has historically lagged. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that places the party above 94 percent. A realistic shift would require either an unusually divisive Democratic primary outcome or a national political environment that produces unprecedented Republican gains in deep-blue urban seats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
音量
$23,353終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat created by longtime Democratic incumbent Frederica Wilson’s May 2026 retirement has not altered the underlying dynamics of Florida’s 24th congressional district, a Miami-area constituency with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of roughly D+18 and consistent double-digit Democratic margins in recent federal contests. Multiple Democratic candidates have entered the August primary, ensuring the nominee will face minimal general-election opposition in a district where registered Democrats hold a substantial edge and Republican performance has historically lagged. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that places the party above 94 percent. A realistic shift would require either an unusually divisive Democratic primary outcome or a national political environment that produces unprecedented Republican gains in deep-blue urban seats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$23,353終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open seat created by longtime Democratic incumbent Frederica Wilson’s May 2026 retirement has not altered the underlying dynamics of Florida’s 24th congressional district, a Miami-area constituency with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of roughly D+18 and consistent double-digit Democratic margins in recent federal contests. Multiple Democratic candidates have entered the August primary, ensuring the nominee will face minimal general-election opposition in a district where registered Democrats hold a substantial edge and Republican performance has historically lagged. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that places the party above 94 percent. A realistic shift would require either an unusually divisive Democratic primary outcome or a national political environment that produces unprecedented Republican gains in deep-blue urban seats.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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