Florida's 23rd Congressional District remains a solidly Democratic seat following 2026 redistricting that preserved its partisan composition within Palm Beach County. Incumbent Lois Frankel secured the Democratic nomination in the August 18 primary with roughly 75% of the vote against limited opposition, while Deborah Adeimy emerged as the Republican nominee. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the general election as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 vote, reflecting the district's underlying voter registration and past results. Traders assign the Democratic Party a 93% implied probability due to this structural advantage and the incumbent's established campaign infrastructure. A Republican victory would require an unusually large national midterm swing or significant local turnout disruption not currently indicated by available data.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$19,964 Vol.
$19,964 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
93%
共和党
6%
$19,964 Vol.
$19,964 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$10,836 Vol.
93%
共和党
$9,128 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 23rd Congressional District remains a solidly Democratic seat following 2026 redistricting that preserved its partisan composition within Palm Beach County. Incumbent Lois Frankel secured the Democratic nomination in the August 18 primary with roughly 75% of the vote against limited opposition, while Deborah Adeimy emerged as the Republican nominee. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the general election as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 vote, reflecting the district's underlying voter registration and past results. Traders assign the Democratic Party a 93% implied probability due to this structural advantage and the incumbent's established campaign infrastructure. A Republican victory would require an unusually large national midterm swing or significant local turnout disruption not currently indicated by available data.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ET
音量
$19,964終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 23rd Congressional District remains a solidly Democratic seat following 2026 redistricting that preserved its partisan composition within Palm Beach County. Incumbent Lois Frankel secured the Democratic nomination in the August 18 primary with roughly 75% of the vote against limited opposition, while Deborah Adeimy emerged as the Republican nominee. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the general election as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 vote, reflecting the district's underlying voter registration and past results. Traders assign the Democratic Party a 93% implied probability due to this structural advantage and the incumbent's established campaign infrastructure. A Republican victory would require an unusually large national midterm swing or significant local turnout disruption not currently indicated by available data.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$19,964終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 23rd Congressional District remains a solidly Democratic seat following 2026 redistricting that preserved its partisan composition within Palm Beach County. Incumbent Lois Frankel secured the Democratic nomination in the August 18 primary with roughly 75% of the vote against limited opposition, while Deborah Adeimy emerged as the Republican nominee. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the general election as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 vote, reflecting the district's underlying voter registration and past results. Traders assign the Democratic Party a 93% implied probability due to this structural advantage and the incumbent's established campaign infrastructure. A Republican victory would require an unusually large national midterm swing or significant local turnout disruption not currently indicated by available data.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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