**Recent polling aggregates place the Parti Conservateur du Québec (PCQ) at roughly 11–16% province-wide support ahead of the October 5 election, with particular strength in the Quebec City region and parts of Chaudière-Appalaches.** Seat models reflect wide ranges—338Canada projects around 14 seats (7–18 range) while others cluster nearer 8–9—producing the market’s spread across the 5–17+ buckets. PCQ gains stem from regional concentration where the party leads or contests multiple ridings against a weakened CAQ, aided by recent endorsements such as that from former Lévis mayor Gilles Lehouillier. However, broader francophone competition with the leading PQ and residual CAQ presence, combined with uncertain vote efficiency and turnout patterns, keeps projected totals variable. Small shifts in second preferences or mobilization in competitive ridings could widen or narrow the final seat haul. The election timeline leaves limited room for late developments to alter these dynamics before polling day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日17以上 21.1%
8〜10 20%
5〜7 19%
11〜13 19%
新規
新規
2026/10/05
5未満
3%
5〜7
14%
8〜10
20%
11〜13
19%
14〜16
14%
17以上
18%
17以上 21.1%
8〜10 20%
5〜7 19%
11〜13 19%
新規
新規
2026/10/05
5未満
$1,979 Vol.
3%
5〜7
$838 Vol.
14%
8〜10
$1,374 Vol.
20%
11〜13
$1,439 Vol.
19%
14〜16
$1,017 Vol.
14%
17以上
$1,072 Vol.
18%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).**Recent polling aggregates place the Parti Conservateur du Québec (PCQ) at roughly 11–16% province-wide support ahead of the October 5 election, with particular strength in the Quebec City region and parts of Chaudière-Appalaches.** Seat models reflect wide ranges—338Canada projects around 14 seats (7–18 range) while others cluster nearer 8–9—producing the market’s spread across the 5–17+ buckets.
PCQ gains stem from regional concentration where the party leads or contests multiple ridings against a weakened CAQ, aided by recent endorsements such as that from former Lévis mayor Gilles Lehouillier. However, broader francophone competition with the leading PQ and residual CAQ presence, combined with uncertain vote efficiency and turnout patterns, keeps projected totals variable. Small shifts in second preferences or mobilization in competitive ridings could widen or narrow the final seat haul. The election timeline leaves limited room for late developments to alter these dynamics before polling day.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
マーケット開始日： Aug 27, 2026, 8:14 AM ET
音量
$7,719終了日
2026/10/05マーケット開始日
Aug 27, 2026, 8:14 AM ETParliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).**Recent polling aggregates place the Parti Conservateur du Québec (PCQ) at roughly 11–16% province-wide support ahead of the October 5 election, with particular strength in the Quebec City region and parts of Chaudière-Appalaches.** Seat models reflect wide ranges—338Canada projects around 14 seats (7–18 range) while others cluster nearer 8–9—producing the market’s spread across the 5–17+ buckets.
PCQ gains stem from regional concentration where the party leads or contests multiple ridings against a weakened CAQ, aided by recent endorsements such as that from former Lévis mayor Gilles Lehouillier. However, broader francophone competition with the leading PQ and residual CAQ presence, combined with uncertain vote efficiency and turnout patterns, keeps projected totals variable. Small shifts in second preferences or mobilization in competitive ridings could widen or narrow the final seat haul. The election timeline leaves limited room for late developments to alter these dynamics before polling day.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
音量
$7,719終了日
2026/10/05マーケット開始日
Aug 27, 2026, 8:14 AM ET**Recent polling aggregates place the Parti Conservateur du Québec (PCQ) at roughly 11–16% province-wide support ahead of the October 5 election, with particular strength in the Quebec City region and parts of Chaudière-Appalaches.** Seat models reflect wide ranges—338Canada projects around 14 seats (7–18 range) while others cluster nearer 8–9—producing the market’s spread across the 5–17+ buckets. PCQ gains stem from regional concentration where the party leads or contests multiple ridings against a weakened CAQ, aided by recent endorsements such as that from former Lévis mayor Gilles Lehouillier. However, broader francophone competition with the leading PQ and residual CAQ presence, combined with uncertain vote efficiency and turnout patterns, keeps projected totals variable. Small shifts in second preferences or mobilization in competitive ridings could widen or narrow the final seat haul. The election timeline leaves limited room for late developments to alter these dynamics before polling day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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