Recent polls during the October 5, 2026 Quebec general election campaign show the Parti Québécois holding a narrow lead near 28-29% support, with the PLQ rebounding modestly to 22-24% alongside a similar share for the CAQ. Seat models project the PLQ around 33 seats on average, concentrated in Montreal-area ridings where the party retains structural strength, though many contests remain toss-ups amid vote fragmentation. The tight distribution between sub-28 and 28-31 seat bands reflects ongoing volatility from undecided voters, regional shifts outside urban cores, and limited efficiency gains for the PLQ in francophone areas. Leaders’ debates and final-week turnout in battleground districts could widen or narrow these ranges before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日28～31 35%
28未満 33%
32〜35 21%
36〜39 5.2%
$23,632 Vol.
$23,632 Vol.
2026/10/05
28未満
33%
28～31
36%
32〜35
21%
36〜39
5%
40～43
4%
44以上
3%
28～31 35%
28未満 33%
32〜35 21%
36〜39 5.2%
$23,632 Vol.
$23,632 Vol.
2026/10/05
28未満
$4,594 Vol.
33%
28～31
$5,004 Vol.
36%
32〜35
$6,478 Vol.
21%
36〜39
$4,891 Vol.
5%
40～43
$1,366 Vol.
4%
44以上
$1,300 Vol.
3%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti libéral du Québec (PLQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polls during the October 5, 2026 Quebec general election campaign show the Parti Québécois holding a narrow lead near 28-29% support, with the PLQ rebounding modestly to 22-24% alongside a similar share for the CAQ. Seat models project the PLQ around 33 seats on average, concentrated in Montreal-area ridings where the party retains structural strength, though many contests remain toss-ups amid vote fragmentation. The tight distribution between sub-28 and 28-31 seat bands reflects ongoing volatility from undecided voters, regional shifts outside urban cores, and limited efficiency gains for the PLQ in francophone areas. Leaders’ debates and final-week turnout in battleground districts could widen or narrow these ranges before resolution.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti libéral du Québec (PLQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti libéral du Québec (PLQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
マーケット開始日： Aug 27, 2026, 8:15 AM ET
音量
$23,632終了日
2026/10/05マーケット開始日
Aug 27, 2026, 8:15 AM ETParliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti libéral du Québec (PLQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polls during the October 5, 2026 Quebec general election campaign show the Parti Québécois holding a narrow lead near 28-29% support, with the PLQ rebounding modestly to 22-24% alongside a similar share for the CAQ. Seat models project the PLQ around 33 seats on average, concentrated in Montreal-area ridings where the party retains structural strength, though many contests remain toss-ups amid vote fragmentation. The tight distribution between sub-28 and 28-31 seat bands reflects ongoing volatility from undecided voters, regional shifts outside urban cores, and limited efficiency gains for the PLQ in francophone areas. Leaders’ debates and final-week turnout in battleground districts could widen or narrow these ranges before resolution.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti libéral du Québec (PLQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti libéral du Québec (PLQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
音量
$23,632終了日
2026/10/05マーケット開始日
Aug 27, 2026, 8:15 AM ETRecent polls during the October 5, 2026 Quebec general election campaign show the Parti Québécois holding a narrow lead near 28-29% support, with the PLQ rebounding modestly to 22-24% alongside a similar share for the CAQ. Seat models project the PLQ around 33 seats on average, concentrated in Montreal-area ridings where the party retains structural strength, though many contests remain toss-ups amid vote fragmentation. The tight distribution between sub-28 and 28-31 seat bands reflects ongoing volatility from undecided voters, regional shifts outside urban cores, and limited efficiency gains for the PLQ in francophone areas. Leaders’ debates and final-week turnout in battleground districts could widen or narrow these ranges before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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