Democratic incumbent Josh Shapiro maintains a commanding position in the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial race due to consistent double-digit polling leads averaging around 16-19 points over Republican state Treasurer Stacy Garrity, high job approval near 60 percent, and substantial fundraising dominance exceeding $18 million versus roughly $2 million. Traders reflect these trends through overwhelming consensus on the Democratic outcome, bolstered by Pennsylvania's historical pattern of reelecting governors by wide margins, Shapiro's crossover support among independents and some Republicans, and Garrity's limited name recognition. With the November 3 election two months away, realistic challenges to this positioning would require major late developments such as a significant economic downturn impacting voter priorities, an unforeseen scandal, or unusually low Democratic turnout, though such shifts face steep structural hurdles given current evidence.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$49,101 Vol.
$49,101 Vol.
2026/11/02
民主党
96%
共和党
3%
$49,101 Vol.
$49,101 Vol.
2026/11/02
民主党
$7,465 Vol.
96%
共和党
$41,635 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Democratic incumbent Josh Shapiro maintains a commanding position in the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial race due to consistent double-digit polling leads averaging around 16-19 points over Republican state Treasurer Stacy Garrity, high job approval near 60 percent, and substantial fundraising dominance exceeding $18 million versus roughly $2 million. Traders reflect these trends through overwhelming consensus on the Democratic outcome, bolstered by Pennsylvania's historical pattern of reelecting governors by wide margins, Shapiro's crossover support among independents and some Republicans, and Garrity's limited name recognition. With the November 3 election two months away, realistic challenges to this positioning would require major late developments such as a significant economic downturn impacting voter priorities, an unforeseen scandal, or unusually low Democratic turnout, though such shifts face steep structural hurdles given current evidence.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
音量
$49,101終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Democratic incumbent Josh Shapiro maintains a commanding position in the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial race due to consistent double-digit polling leads averaging around 16-19 points over Republican state Treasurer Stacy Garrity, high job approval near 60 percent, and substantial fundraising dominance exceeding $18 million versus roughly $2 million. Traders reflect these trends through overwhelming consensus on the Democratic outcome, bolstered by Pennsylvania's historical pattern of reelecting governors by wide margins, Shapiro's crossover support among independents and some Republicans, and Garrity's limited name recognition. With the November 3 election two months away, realistic challenges to this positioning would require major late developments such as a significant economic downturn impacting voter priorities, an unforeseen scandal, or unusually low Democratic turnout, though such shifts face steep structural hurdles given current evidence.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$49,101終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Josh Shapiro maintains a commanding position in the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial race due to consistent double-digit polling leads averaging around 16-19 points over Republican state Treasurer Stacy Garrity, high job approval near 60 percent, and substantial fundraising dominance exceeding $18 million versus roughly $2 million. Traders reflect these trends through overwhelming consensus on the Democratic outcome, bolstered by Pennsylvania's historical pattern of reelecting governors by wide margins, Shapiro's crossover support among independents and some Republicans, and Garrity's limited name recognition. With the November 3 election two months away, realistic challenges to this positioning would require major late developments such as a significant economic downturn impacting voter priorities, an unforeseen scandal, or unusually low Democratic turnout, though such shifts face steep structural hurdles given current evidence.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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