Skip to main content
icon for California Governor Primary Election: First Place

California Governor Primary Election: First Place

icon for California Governor Primary Election: First Place

California Governor Primary Election: First Place

Xavier Becerra 99.4%

Steve Hilton <1%

Thunder Parley <1%

Raji Rab <1%

Polymarket

$934,882 Vol.

Xavier Becerra 99.4%

Steve Hilton <1%

Thunder Parley <1%

Raji Rab <1%

Polymarket

$934,882 Vol.

Xavier Becerra

$331,623 Vol.

99%

Steve Hilton

$336,952 Vol.

<1%

Thunder Parley

$3,426 Vol.

<1%

Raji Rab

$2,762 Vol.

<1%

Tony Thurmond

$3,399 Vol.

<1%

Betty Yee

$3,218 Vol.

<1%

Chad Bianco

$34,740 Vol.

<1%

Derek Grasty

$2,674 Vol.

<1%

Carolina Buhler

$2,330 Vol.

<1%

Katie Porter

$3,382 Vol.

<1%

Tom Steyer

$179,351 Vol.

<1%

Antonio Villaraigosa

$2,744 Vol.

<1%

Leo Zacky

$4,461 Vol.

<1%

Matt Mahan

$4,704 Vol.

<1%

Daniel Mercuri

$3,543 Vol.

<1%

Ramsey Robinson

$5,262 Vol.

<1%

Nicki Minaj

$6,000 Vol.

<1%

Elaine Culotti

$4,310 Vol.

<1%

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes in this primary election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.Xavier Becerra secured first place in California's June 2, 2026, top-two primary for governor with roughly 28% of the vote, advancing alongside Steve Hilton to the November general election. Democratic voter consolidation around the former U.S. Health and Human Services secretary and California attorney general—following the withdrawal of other contenders—combined with endorsements from labor, progressive groups, and elected officials propelled his lead in final tallies over Republican Steve Hilton and Democrat Tom Steyer. Trader consensus at 98.8% for Becerra reflects these certified primary results and the substantial margin separating him from the field. Full certification by July 10 could still introduce minor shifts from remaining mail ballots, though current vote distributions make any change to first place highly improbable.

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes in this primary election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
音量
$934,882
終了日
2026/06/02
マーケット開始日
Apr 16, 2026, 10:46 AM ET
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes in this primary election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes in this primary election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.Xavier Becerra secured first place in California's June 2, 2026, top-two primary for governor with roughly 28% of the vote, advancing alongside Steve Hilton to the November general election. Democratic voter consolidation around the former U.S. Health and Human Services secretary and California attorney general—following the withdrawal of other contenders—combined with endorsements from labor, progressive groups, and elected officials propelled his lead in final tallies over Republican Steve Hilton and Democrat Tom Steyer. Trader consensus at 98.8% for Becerra reflects these certified primary results and the substantial margin separating him from the field. Full certification by July 10 could still introduce minor shifts from remaining mail ballots, though current vote distributions make any change to first place highly improbable.

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes in this primary election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
音量
$934,882
終了日
2026/06/02
マーケット開始日
Apr 16, 2026, 10:46 AM ET
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes in this primary election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「California Governor Primary Election: First Place」はPolymarket上の18個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Xavier Becerra」で99%、次いで「Steve Hilton」が0%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、99¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に99%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「California Governor Primary Election: First Place」は$934.9Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Apr 16, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「California Governor Primary Election: First Place」で取引するには、このページに記載されている18個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「California Governor Primary Election: First Place」の現在のフロントランナーは「Xavier Becerra」で99%であり、市場がこの結果に99%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「Steve Hilton」で0%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「California Governor Primary Election: First Place」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。