Missouri’s 1st Congressional District remains a solidly Democratic seat anchored in urban St. Louis and surrounding areas, reflected in trader pricing that assigns the Democratic nominee a commanding lead for the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Wesley Bell secured renomination in the August 4 Democratic primary by defeating former Representative Cori Bush 59-37 percent, demonstrating consolidated party support after his 2024 primary victory. The district’s partisan lean, historical general-election margins exceeding 30 points, and the Republican nominee’s limited visibility reinforce expectations of a comfortable Democratic hold. A late scandal, health event, or unprecedented national political shift would be required to meaningfully alter the outcome before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$35,092 Vol.
$35,092 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
96%
共和党
2%
$35,092 Vol.
$35,092 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$21,487 Vol.
96%
共和党
$13,604 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri’s 1st Congressional District remains a solidly Democratic seat anchored in urban St. Louis and surrounding areas, reflected in trader pricing that assigns the Democratic nominee a commanding lead for the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Wesley Bell secured renomination in the August 4 Democratic primary by defeating former Representative Cori Bush 59-37 percent, demonstrating consolidated party support after his 2024 primary victory. The district’s partisan lean, historical general-election margins exceeding 30 points, and the Republican nominee’s limited visibility reinforce expectations of a comfortable Democratic hold. A late scandal, health event, or unprecedented national political shift would be required to meaningfully alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
音量
$35,092終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri’s 1st Congressional District remains a solidly Democratic seat anchored in urban St. Louis and surrounding areas, reflected in trader pricing that assigns the Democratic nominee a commanding lead for the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Wesley Bell secured renomination in the August 4 Democratic primary by defeating former Representative Cori Bush 59-37 percent, demonstrating consolidated party support after his 2024 primary victory. The district’s partisan lean, historical general-election margins exceeding 30 points, and the Republican nominee’s limited visibility reinforce expectations of a comfortable Democratic hold. A late scandal, health event, or unprecedented national political shift would be required to meaningfully alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$35,092終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Missouri’s 1st Congressional District remains a solidly Democratic seat anchored in urban St. Louis and surrounding areas, reflected in trader pricing that assigns the Democratic nominee a commanding lead for the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Wesley Bell secured renomination in the August 4 Democratic primary by defeating former Representative Cori Bush 59-37 percent, demonstrating consolidated party support after his 2024 primary victory. The district’s partisan lean, historical general-election margins exceeding 30 points, and the Republican nominee’s limited visibility reinforce expectations of a comfortable Democratic hold. A late scandal, health event, or unprecedented national political shift would be required to meaningfully alter the outcome before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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