Missouri's 6th Congressional District, with its R+16 Cook Partisan Voter Index, remains a Republican stronghold following Rep. Sam Graves' retirement announcement on March 27, driving trader consensus to 91.5% for the GOP nominee in the November 3 general election despite the open seat. The GOP primary on August 4 pits conservative radio host Chris Stigall—backed by Graves' endorsement—against business owner Jim Ingram and others in this rural northern Missouri battleground, while Democrats like first-time candidate Josh Smead trail with limited fundraising and name recognition. Odds reflect historical dominance, including Graves' consistent double-digit victories, though a GOP primary scandal, nominee gaffe, or national midterm wave favoring Democrats could narrow the gap.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$28,012 Vol.
$28,012 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
92%
民主党
8%
$28,012 Vol.
$28,012 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$22,456 Vol.
92%
民主党
$5,555 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri's 6th Congressional District, with its R+16 Cook Partisan Voter Index, remains a Republican stronghold following Rep. Sam Graves' retirement announcement on March 27, driving trader consensus to 91.5% for the GOP nominee in the November 3 general election despite the open seat. The GOP primary on August 4 pits conservative radio host Chris Stigall—backed by Graves' endorsement—against business owner Jim Ingram and others in this rural northern Missouri battleground, while Democrats like first-time candidate Josh Smead trail with limited fundraising and name recognition. Odds reflect historical dominance, including Graves' consistent double-digit victories, though a GOP primary scandal, nominee gaffe, or national midterm wave favoring Democrats could narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
音量
$28,012終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri's 6th Congressional District, with its R+16 Cook Partisan Voter Index, remains a Republican stronghold following Rep. Sam Graves' retirement announcement on March 27, driving trader consensus to 91.5% for the GOP nominee in the November 3 general election despite the open seat. The GOP primary on August 4 pits conservative radio host Chris Stigall—backed by Graves' endorsement—against business owner Jim Ingram and others in this rural northern Missouri battleground, while Democrats like first-time candidate Josh Smead trail with limited fundraising and name recognition. Odds reflect historical dominance, including Graves' consistent double-digit victories, though a GOP primary scandal, nominee gaffe, or national midterm wave favoring Democrats could narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$28,012終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Missouri's 6th Congressional District, with its R+16 Cook Partisan Voter Index, remains a Republican stronghold following Rep. Sam Graves' retirement announcement on March 27, driving trader consensus to 91.5% for the GOP nominee in the November 3 general election despite the open seat. The GOP primary on August 4 pits conservative radio host Chris Stigall—backed by Graves' endorsement—against business owner Jim Ingram and others in this rural northern Missouri battleground, while Democrats like first-time candidate Josh Smead trail with limited fundraising and name recognition. Odds reflect historical dominance, including Graves' consistent double-digit victories, though a GOP primary scandal, nominee gaffe, or national midterm wave favoring Democrats could narrow the gap.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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