Missouri’s 5th congressional district underwent mid-decade redistricting in 2025 that shifted its partisan balance to R+9 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index, transforming a longtime Democratic seat into one rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report. Incumbent Democrat Emanuel Cleaver now faces a significantly altered electorate. Rick Brattin secured the Republican nomination in the August 4 primary with a comfortable plurality, bolstered by endorsements including from President Trump and substantial outside spending. A pending referendum challenging the map introduces some procedural uncertainty for November, yet current boundaries and historical performance in the redrawn district underpin trader consensus that the Republican nominee holds a strong edge in the general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$10,750 Vol.
$10,750 Vol.
2026/11/04
共和党
84%
民主党
16%
$10,750 Vol.
$10,750 Vol.
2026/11/04
共和党
$8,060 Vol.
84%
民主党
$2,690 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri’s 5th congressional district underwent mid-decade redistricting in 2025 that shifted its partisan balance to R+9 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index, transforming a longtime Democratic seat into one rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report. Incumbent Democrat Emanuel Cleaver now faces a significantly altered electorate. Rick Brattin secured the Republican nomination in the August 4 primary with a comfortable plurality, bolstered by endorsements including from President Trump and substantial outside spending. A pending referendum challenging the map introduces some procedural uncertainty for November, yet current boundaries and historical performance in the redrawn district underpin trader consensus that the Republican nominee holds a strong edge in the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ET
音量
$10,750終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri’s 5th congressional district underwent mid-decade redistricting in 2025 that shifted its partisan balance to R+9 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index, transforming a longtime Democratic seat into one rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report. Incumbent Democrat Emanuel Cleaver now faces a significantly altered electorate. Rick Brattin secured the Republican nomination in the August 4 primary with a comfortable plurality, bolstered by endorsements including from President Trump and substantial outside spending. A pending referendum challenging the map introduces some procedural uncertainty for November, yet current boundaries and historical performance in the redrawn district underpin trader consensus that the Republican nominee holds a strong edge in the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$10,750終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Missouri’s 5th congressional district underwent mid-decade redistricting in 2025 that shifted its partisan balance to R+9 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index, transforming a longtime Democratic seat into one rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report. Incumbent Democrat Emanuel Cleaver now faces a significantly altered electorate. Rick Brattin secured the Republican nomination in the August 4 primary with a comfortable plurality, bolstered by endorsements including from President Trump and substantial outside spending. A pending referendum challenging the map introduces some procedural uncertainty for November, yet current boundaries and historical performance in the redrawn district underpin trader consensus that the Republican nominee holds a strong edge in the general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問