Incumbent Republican Ann Wagner's commanding position drives trader consensus favoring the GOP at 78.5% in the MO-02 House race, reflecting her $4.5 million cash-on-hand advantage as of late March, Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball, and the district's R+4 partisan lean after her 12-point 2024 victory. The March 31 filing deadline introduced multiple Democratic primary challengers, including well-funded veteran Frederick Wellman ($246,000 cash), but fragmented fields on both sides ahead of the August 4 primaries risk diluting Democratic resources without a clear frontrunner. No head-to-head polls exist, underscoring structural GOP edges in this suburban St. Louis battleground despite occasional Democratic generic ballot optimism.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
79%
民主党
20%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
$3,188 Vol.
79%
民主党
$2,183 Vol.
20%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Ann Wagner's commanding position drives trader consensus favoring the GOP at 78.5% in the MO-02 House race, reflecting her $4.5 million cash-on-hand advantage as of late March, Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball, and the district's R+4 partisan lean after her 12-point 2024 victory. The March 31 filing deadline introduced multiple Democratic primary challengers, including well-funded veteran Frederick Wellman ($246,000 cash), but fragmented fields on both sides ahead of the August 4 primaries risk diluting Democratic resources without a clear frontrunner. No head-to-head polls exist, underscoring structural GOP edges in this suburban St. Louis battleground despite occasional Democratic generic ballot optimism.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$5,370終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Ann Wagner's commanding position drives trader consensus favoring the GOP at 78.5% in the MO-02 House race, reflecting her $4.5 million cash-on-hand advantage as of late March, Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball, and the district's R+4 partisan lean after her 12-point 2024 victory. The March 31 filing deadline introduced multiple Democratic primary challengers, including well-funded veteran Frederick Wellman ($246,000 cash), but fragmented fields on both sides ahead of the August 4 primaries risk diluting Democratic resources without a clear frontrunner. No head-to-head polls exist, underscoring structural GOP edges in this suburban St. Louis battleground despite occasional Democratic generic ballot optimism.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$5,370終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Ann Wagner's commanding position drives trader consensus favoring the GOP at 78.5% in the MO-02 House race, reflecting her $4.5 million cash-on-hand advantage as of late March, Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball, and the district's R+4 partisan lean after her 12-point 2024 victory. The March 31 filing deadline introduced multiple Democratic primary challengers, including well-funded veteran Frederick Wellman ($246,000 cash), but fragmented fields on both sides ahead of the August 4 primaries risk diluting Democratic resources without a clear frontrunner. No head-to-head polls exist, underscoring structural GOP edges in this suburban St. Louis battleground despite occasional Democratic generic ballot optimism.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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