California's 48th congressional district, redrawn under Proposition 50, now leans Democratic with voter registration at 37% Democratic, 33% Republican, and 22% no party preference. Incumbent Republican Darrell Issa retired, creating an open seat that multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate as a likely or safe Democratic pickup. In the June 2026 primary, Republican Jim Desmond and Democrat Marni von Wilpert advanced to the November general election. The district's shifted partisan composition and open-seat dynamics have shaped trader consensus reflected in current market pricing, with limited late developments altering the balance ahead of the fall campaign.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$31,128 Vol.
$31,128 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
89%
共和党
11%
$31,128 Vol.
$31,128 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$16,125 Vol.
89%
共和党
$15,003 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-48 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 48th congressional district, redrawn under Proposition 50, now leans Democratic with voter registration at 37% Democratic, 33% Republican, and 22% no party preference. Incumbent Republican Darrell Issa retired, creating an open seat that multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate as a likely or safe Democratic pickup. In the June 2026 primary, Republican Jim Desmond and Democrat Marni von Wilpert advanced to the November general election. The district's shifted partisan composition and open-seat dynamics have shaped trader consensus reflected in current market pricing, with limited late developments altering the balance ahead of the fall campaign.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-48 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
音量
$31,128終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-48 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 48th congressional district, redrawn under Proposition 50, now leans Democratic with voter registration at 37% Democratic, 33% Republican, and 22% no party preference. Incumbent Republican Darrell Issa retired, creating an open seat that multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate as a likely or safe Democratic pickup. In the June 2026 primary, Republican Jim Desmond and Democrat Marni von Wilpert advanced to the November general election. The district's shifted partisan composition and open-seat dynamics have shaped trader consensus reflected in current market pricing, with limited late developments altering the balance ahead of the fall campaign.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-48 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$31,128終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 48th congressional district, redrawn under Proposition 50, now leans Democratic with voter registration at 37% Democratic, 33% Republican, and 22% no party preference. Incumbent Republican Darrell Issa retired, creating an open seat that multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate as a likely or safe Democratic pickup. In the June 2026 primary, Republican Jim Desmond and Democrat Marni von Wilpert advanced to the November general election. The district's shifted partisan composition and open-seat dynamics have shaped trader consensus reflected in current market pricing, with limited late developments altering the balance ahead of the fall campaign.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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