California's 47th congressional district maintains a solid Democratic lean, reflected in its D+6 partisan voting index and 2024 presidential margin favoring the Democratic nominee by roughly 10 points. Incumbent Democrat Dave Min secured the top spot in the June 2, 2026 top-two primary with approximately 45.5% of the vote and advances to the November general election against Republican Jenny Rae Le Roux. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus at 93.5% for a Democratic victory aligns with the district's structural advantages and incumbency, though low-probability shifts could arise from an unusually strong national Republican environment, late developments affecting turnout among key voter blocs, or unforeseen candidate-specific issues.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日CA-47 House Election Winner
CA-47 House Election Winner
新規
新規
2026/11/03
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
Democratic Party
$1,761 Vol.
94%
Republican Party
$6,706 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-47 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 47th congressional district maintains a solid Democratic lean, reflected in its D+6 partisan voting index and 2024 presidential margin favoring the Democratic nominee by roughly 10 points. Incumbent Democrat Dave Min secured the top spot in the June 2, 2026 top-two primary with approximately 45.5% of the vote and advances to the November general election against Republican Jenny Rae Le Roux. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus at 93.5% for a Democratic victory aligns with the district's structural advantages and incumbency, though low-probability shifts could arise from an unusually strong national Republican environment, late developments affecting turnout among key voter blocs, or unforeseen candidate-specific issues.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-47 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
音量
$8,467終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-47 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 47th congressional district maintains a solid Democratic lean, reflected in its D+6 partisan voting index and 2024 presidential margin favoring the Democratic nominee by roughly 10 points. Incumbent Democrat Dave Min secured the top spot in the June 2, 2026 top-two primary with approximately 45.5% of the vote and advances to the November general election against Republican Jenny Rae Le Roux. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus at 93.5% for a Democratic victory aligns with the district's structural advantages and incumbency, though low-probability shifts could arise from an unusually strong national Republican environment, late developments affecting turnout among key voter blocs, or unforeseen candidate-specific issues.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-47 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$8,467終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 47th congressional district maintains a solid Democratic lean, reflected in its D+6 partisan voting index and 2024 presidential margin favoring the Democratic nominee by roughly 10 points. Incumbent Democrat Dave Min secured the top spot in the June 2, 2026 top-two primary with approximately 45.5% of the vote and advances to the November general election against Republican Jenny Rae Le Roux. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus at 93.5% for a Democratic victory aligns with the district's structural advantages and incumbency, though low-probability shifts could arise from an unusually strong national Republican environment, late developments affecting turnout among key voter blocs, or unforeseen candidate-specific issues.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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