California's 7th congressional district features a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+7 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Doris Matsui advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary alongside fellow Democrat Mai Vang, with both securing spots in the November general election under California's primary rules. No Republican candidate reached the general, leaving the outcome between two Democratic contenders. This structure, combined with the district's voter registration patterns and historical turnout, has produced trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at over 96 percent. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented shift in registration, turnout, or candidate withdrawal before November 3, 2026.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$12,622 Vol.
$12,622 Vol.
2026/11/02
民主党
96%
共和党
3%
$12,622 Vol.
$12,622 Vol.
2026/11/02
民主党
$6,634 Vol.
96%
共和党
$5,988 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 7th congressional district features a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+7 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Doris Matsui advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary alongside fellow Democrat Mai Vang, with both securing spots in the November general election under California's primary rules. No Republican candidate reached the general, leaving the outcome between two Democratic contenders. This structure, combined with the district's voter registration patterns and historical turnout, has produced trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at over 96 percent. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented shift in registration, turnout, or candidate withdrawal before November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
音量
$12,622終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 7th congressional district features a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+7 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Doris Matsui advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary alongside fellow Democrat Mai Vang, with both securing spots in the November general election under California's primary rules. No Republican candidate reached the general, leaving the outcome between two Democratic contenders. This structure, combined with the district's voter registration patterns and historical turnout, has produced trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at over 96 percent. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented shift in registration, turnout, or candidate withdrawal before November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$12,622終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 7th congressional district features a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+7 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Doris Matsui advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary alongside fellow Democrat Mai Vang, with both securing spots in the November general election under California's primary rules. No Republican candidate reached the general, leaving the outcome between two Democratic contenders. This structure, combined with the district's voter registration patterns and historical turnout, has produced trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at over 96 percent. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented shift in registration, turnout, or candidate withdrawal before November 3, 2026.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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