**Texas' 21st Congressional District**, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report, anchors trader consensus at 80% implied probability for the Republican Party in this open-seat House race, reflecting the district's deep-red partisan lean encompassing Hill Country and San Antonio suburbs. Former MLB star Mark Teixeira's decisive March primary victory—securing over 60% against a crowded field—positions him strongly to succeed incumbent Chip Roy, who shifted to the attorney general contest, while Democrat Kristin Hook advanced unopposed on her side. First-quarter fundraising filings through April revealed Republicans outspending Democrats by over $6.8 million, widening the resource gap amid the GOP's slim 217-212 House majority. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days, leaving the matchup stable ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$30,693 Vol.
$30,693 Vol.
共和党
80%
民主党
19%
$30,693 Vol.
$30,693 Vol.
共和党
80%
民主党
19%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Texas' 21st Congressional District**, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report, anchors trader consensus at 80% implied probability for the Republican Party in this open-seat House race, reflecting the district's deep-red partisan lean encompassing Hill Country and San Antonio suburbs. Former MLB star Mark Teixeira's decisive March primary victory—securing over 60% against a crowded field—positions him strongly to succeed incumbent Chip Roy, who shifted to the attorney general contest, while Democrat Kristin Hook advanced unopposed on her side. First-quarter fundraising filings through April revealed Republicans outspending Democrats by over $6.8 million, widening the resource gap amid the GOP's slim 217-212 House majority. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days, leaving the matchup stable ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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