Republican incumbent Bill Huizenga holds a clear edge in Michigan's 4th District, where the market assigns the GOP a 57 percent probability of retaining the seat. The district's R+3 partisan voting index and Huizenga's double-digit victory in 2024 underpin trader confidence, even as Democratic state Senator Sean McCann has secured DCCC backing and raised substantial funds ahead of the August primary. A March poll showed McCann trailing by only six points, reflecting a competitive environment in this swing-leaning seat. With the general election still months away, outcomes hinge on primary results, turnout patterns among key voting blocs, and any shifts in national midterm dynamics that could narrow or widen the current margin.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/04
共和党
62%
民主党
39%
新規
新規
2026/11/04
共和党
$336 Vol.
62%
民主党
$511 Vol.
39%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Bill Huizenga holds a clear edge in Michigan's 4th District, where the market assigns the GOP a 57 percent probability of retaining the seat. The district's R+3 partisan voting index and Huizenga's double-digit victory in 2024 underpin trader confidence, even as Democratic state Senator Sean McCann has secured DCCC backing and raised substantial funds ahead of the August primary. A March poll showed McCann trailing by only six points, reflecting a competitive environment in this swing-leaning seat. With the general election still months away, outcomes hinge on primary results, turnout patterns among key voting blocs, and any shifts in national midterm dynamics that could narrow or widen the current margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ET
音量
$847終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Bill Huizenga holds a clear edge in Michigan's 4th District, where the market assigns the GOP a 57 percent probability of retaining the seat. The district's R+3 partisan voting index and Huizenga's double-digit victory in 2024 underpin trader confidence, even as Democratic state Senator Sean McCann has secured DCCC backing and raised substantial funds ahead of the August primary. A March poll showed McCann trailing by only six points, reflecting a competitive environment in this swing-leaning seat. With the general election still months away, outcomes hinge on primary results, turnout patterns among key voting blocs, and any shifts in national midterm dynamics that could narrow or widen the current margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$847終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Bill Huizenga holds a clear edge in Michigan's 4th District, where the market assigns the GOP a 57 percent probability of retaining the seat. The district's R+3 partisan voting index and Huizenga's double-digit victory in 2024 underpin trader confidence, even as Democratic state Senator Sean McCann has secured DCCC backing and raised substantial funds ahead of the August primary. A March poll showed McCann trailing by only six points, reflecting a competitive environment in this swing-leaning seat. With the general election still months away, outcomes hinge on primary results, turnout patterns among key voting blocs, and any shifts in national midterm dynamics that could narrow or widen the current margin.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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