Incumbent Republican Bill Huizenga faces Democratic state Senator Sean McCann in Michigan’s 4th district, a southwestern seat including Kalamazoo and Holland that Trump carried by about 5.5 points in 2024. Most forecasters rate the race Lean Republican, citing Huizenga’s long tenure and primary strength, yet an early June poll showed McCann ahead by three points among likely voters, fueled by independent support and fundraising momentum. The August 4 primaries clarified the matchup without major surprises, leaving the contest tight amid national midterm dynamics, voter turnout patterns in this battleground-leaning district, and limited recent polling. Developments such as fall debate performances, additional district surveys, or shifts in the broader political environment could widen the gap before November 3.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
49%
民主党
49%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
$2,486 Vol.
49%
民主党
$3,522 Vol.
49%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Bill Huizenga faces Democratic state Senator Sean McCann in Michigan’s 4th district, a southwestern seat including Kalamazoo and Holland that Trump carried by about 5.5 points in 2024. Most forecasters rate the race Lean Republican, citing Huizenga’s long tenure and primary strength, yet an early June poll showed McCann ahead by three points among likely voters, fueled by independent support and fundraising momentum. The August 4 primaries clarified the matchup without major surprises, leaving the contest tight amid national midterm dynamics, voter turnout patterns in this battleground-leaning district, and limited recent polling. Developments such as fall debate performances, additional district surveys, or shifts in the broader political environment could widen the gap before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ET
音量
$6,008終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Bill Huizenga faces Democratic state Senator Sean McCann in Michigan’s 4th district, a southwestern seat including Kalamazoo and Holland that Trump carried by about 5.5 points in 2024. Most forecasters rate the race Lean Republican, citing Huizenga’s long tenure and primary strength, yet an early June poll showed McCann ahead by three points among likely voters, fueled by independent support and fundraising momentum. The August 4 primaries clarified the matchup without major surprises, leaving the contest tight amid national midterm dynamics, voter turnout patterns in this battleground-leaning district, and limited recent polling. Developments such as fall debate performances, additional district surveys, or shifts in the broader political environment could widen the gap before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$6,008終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Bill Huizenga faces Democratic state Senator Sean McCann in Michigan’s 4th district, a southwestern seat including Kalamazoo and Holland that Trump carried by about 5.5 points in 2024. Most forecasters rate the race Lean Republican, citing Huizenga’s long tenure and primary strength, yet an early June poll showed McCann ahead by three points among likely voters, fueled by independent support and fundraising momentum. The August 4 primaries clarified the matchup without major surprises, leaving the contest tight amid national midterm dynamics, voter turnout patterns in this battleground-leaning district, and limited recent polling. Developments such as fall debate performances, additional district surveys, or shifts in the broader political environment could widen the gap before November 3.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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