Incumbent Democrat Chellie Pingree faces the Republican nominee in Maine’s 1st congressional district on November 3, 2026, after winning her primary uncontested. The district’s D+11 partisan voting index and Pingree’s consistent reelection margins above 15 points reflect strong Democratic performance in southern and coastal Maine, including Portland. Recent primary results and limited Republican fundraising underscore the structural barriers for the GOP challenger. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrats aligns with these fundamentals. A late national Republican surge, unexpected candidate withdrawal, or major scandal could narrow the gap, though historical patterns in similar districts suggest limited realistic paths to an upset.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ME-01 House Election Winner
ME-01 House Election Winner
$39,376 Vol.
$39,376 Vol.
2026/11/03
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
1%
$39,376 Vol.
$39,376 Vol.
2026/11/03
Democratic Party
$28,937 Vol.
94%
Republican Party
$10,439 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Chellie Pingree faces the Republican nominee in Maine’s 1st congressional district on November 3, 2026, after winning her primary uncontested. The district’s D+11 partisan voting index and Pingree’s consistent reelection margins above 15 points reflect strong Democratic performance in southern and coastal Maine, including Portland. Recent primary results and limited Republican fundraising underscore the structural barriers for the GOP challenger. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrats aligns with these fundamentals. A late national Republican surge, unexpected candidate withdrawal, or major scandal could narrow the gap, though historical patterns in similar districts suggest limited realistic paths to an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$39,376終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Chellie Pingree faces the Republican nominee in Maine’s 1st congressional district on November 3, 2026, after winning her primary uncontested. The district’s D+11 partisan voting index and Pingree’s consistent reelection margins above 15 points reflect strong Democratic performance in southern and coastal Maine, including Portland. Recent primary results and limited Republican fundraising underscore the structural barriers for the GOP challenger. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrats aligns with these fundamentals. A late national Republican surge, unexpected candidate withdrawal, or major scandal could narrow the gap, though historical patterns in similar districts suggest limited realistic paths to an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$39,376終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Chellie Pingree faces the Republican nominee in Maine’s 1st congressional district on November 3, 2026, after winning her primary uncontested. The district’s D+11 partisan voting index and Pingree’s consistent reelection margins above 15 points reflect strong Democratic performance in southern and coastal Maine, including Portland. Recent primary results and limited Republican fundraising underscore the structural barriers for the GOP challenger. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrats aligns with these fundamentals. A late national Republican surge, unexpected candidate withdrawal, or major scandal could narrow the gap, though historical patterns in similar districts suggest limited realistic paths to an upset.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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