Bobby Pulido holds an 81.5% implied probability in the TX-15 House race, reflecting recent polling averages that show the Democratic challenger leading Republican incumbent Monica De La Cruz by roughly six points. The district, redrawn in 2025, spans South Texas with an 81% Hispanic population and now includes more competitive territory after Trump carried the prior version by 18 points in 2024. Pulido, a Tejano musician with deep local name recognition, has built momentum through high-visibility campaign events and strong early polling, prompting the Cook Political Report to shift the race to toss-up status. De La Cruz maintains advantages in fundraising and incumbency but faces headwinds from voter sentiment trends captured in multiple surveys. Early voting begins October 19 ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日View resolved

外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問