Alabama's strongly Republican political environment underpins the market's heavy weighting toward a GOP victory in the open-seat gubernatorial contest. With term-limited incumbent Kay Ivey ineligible, U.S. Senator Tommy Tuberville secured the Republican nomination after a decisive primary win, while former U.S. Senator Doug Jones prevailed on the Democratic side. Recent polling averages show Tuberville ahead by roughly 10 points in a rematch of their 2020 Senate race, consistent with the state's 30-point Republican presidential margin in 2024 and long-standing voter registration and turnout patterns. The November 3 general election date leaves limited time for major shifts. Late developments such as scandals, candidate health issues, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though structural factors make such outcomes unlikely.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$16,111 Vol.
$16,111 Vol.
2026/11/02
共和党
90%
民主党
10%
$16,111 Vol.
$16,111 Vol.
2026/11/02
共和党
$8,004 Vol.
90%
民主党
$8,106 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Alabama gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Alabama's strongly Republican political environment underpins the market's heavy weighting toward a GOP victory in the open-seat gubernatorial contest. With term-limited incumbent Kay Ivey ineligible, U.S. Senator Tommy Tuberville secured the Republican nomination after a decisive primary win, while former U.S. Senator Doug Jones prevailed on the Democratic side. Recent polling averages show Tuberville ahead by roughly 10 points in a rematch of their 2020 Senate race, consistent with the state's 30-point Republican presidential margin in 2024 and long-standing voter registration and turnout patterns. The November 3 general election date leaves limited time for major shifts. Late developments such as scandals, candidate health issues, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though structural factors make such outcomes unlikely.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Alabama gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
音量
$16,111終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Alabama gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Alabama's strongly Republican political environment underpins the market's heavy weighting toward a GOP victory in the open-seat gubernatorial contest. With term-limited incumbent Kay Ivey ineligible, U.S. Senator Tommy Tuberville secured the Republican nomination after a decisive primary win, while former U.S. Senator Doug Jones prevailed on the Democratic side. Recent polling averages show Tuberville ahead by roughly 10 points in a rematch of their 2020 Senate race, consistent with the state's 30-point Republican presidential margin in 2024 and long-standing voter registration and turnout patterns. The November 3 general election date leaves limited time for major shifts. Late developments such as scandals, candidate health issues, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though structural factors make such outcomes unlikely.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Alabama gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$16,111終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Alabama's strongly Republican political environment underpins the market's heavy weighting toward a GOP victory in the open-seat gubernatorial contest. With term-limited incumbent Kay Ivey ineligible, U.S. Senator Tommy Tuberville secured the Republican nomination after a decisive primary win, while former U.S. Senator Doug Jones prevailed on the Democratic side. Recent polling averages show Tuberville ahead by roughly 10 points in a rematch of their 2020 Senate race, consistent with the state's 30-point Republican presidential margin in 2024 and long-standing voter registration and turnout patterns. The November 3 general election date leaves limited time for major shifts. Late developments such as scandals, candidate health issues, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though structural factors make such outcomes unlikely.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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