Trader consensus favors the Democratic Party at 63% to win Florida's 25th Congressional District House seat, reflecting the district's D+5 partisan lean and incumbent advantages despite recent turbulence. Mid-decade redistricting by the Florida legislature in late April 2026 redrew FL-25 into a toss-up per Cook Political Report and others, pitting Democratic incumbents Debbie Wasserman Schultz and Jared Moskowitz against progressive challenger Oliver Larkin in the August 18 primary, while Republicans face a crowded field including Michael Carbonara, Claudia Villatoro, Scott Singer, and George Moraitis. A May 5-6 Middle Seat poll showed a 51%-39% generic Democratic ballot lead—driven by independents—and Larkin topping hypothetical generals by 9-12 points, anchoring the Democratic edge amid strong fundraising by Wasserman Schultz.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$18,060 Vol.
$18,060 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
65%
共和党
34%
$18,060 Vol.
$18,060 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$4,507 Vol.
65%
共和党
$13,553 Vol.
34%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors the Democratic Party at 63% to win Florida's 25th Congressional District House seat, reflecting the district's D+5 partisan lean and incumbent advantages despite recent turbulence. Mid-decade redistricting by the Florida legislature in late April 2026 redrew FL-25 into a toss-up per Cook Political Report and others, pitting Democratic incumbents Debbie Wasserman Schultz and Jared Moskowitz against progressive challenger Oliver Larkin in the August 18 primary, while Republicans face a crowded field including Michael Carbonara, Claudia Villatoro, Scott Singer, and George Moraitis. A May 5-6 Middle Seat poll showed a 51%-39% generic Democratic ballot lead—driven by independents—and Larkin topping hypothetical generals by 9-12 points, anchoring the Democratic edge amid strong fundraising by Wasserman Schultz.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
音量
$18,060終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors the Democratic Party at 63% to win Florida's 25th Congressional District House seat, reflecting the district's D+5 partisan lean and incumbent advantages despite recent turbulence. Mid-decade redistricting by the Florida legislature in late April 2026 redrew FL-25 into a toss-up per Cook Political Report and others, pitting Democratic incumbents Debbie Wasserman Schultz and Jared Moskowitz against progressive challenger Oliver Larkin in the August 18 primary, while Republicans face a crowded field including Michael Carbonara, Claudia Villatoro, Scott Singer, and George Moraitis. A May 5-6 Middle Seat poll showed a 51%-39% generic Democratic ballot lead—driven by independents—and Larkin topping hypothetical generals by 9-12 points, anchoring the Democratic edge amid strong fundraising by Wasserman Schultz.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$18,060終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors the Democratic Party at 63% to win Florida's 25th Congressional District House seat, reflecting the district's D+5 partisan lean and incumbent advantages despite recent turbulence. Mid-decade redistricting by the Florida legislature in late April 2026 redrew FL-25 into a toss-up per Cook Political Report and others, pitting Democratic incumbents Debbie Wasserman Schultz and Jared Moskowitz against progressive challenger Oliver Larkin in the August 18 primary, while Republicans face a crowded field including Michael Carbonara, Claudia Villatoro, Scott Singer, and George Moraitis. A May 5-6 Middle Seat poll showed a 51%-39% generic Democratic ballot lead—driven by independents—and Larkin topping hypothetical generals by 9-12 points, anchoring the Democratic edge amid strong fundraising by Wasserman Schultz.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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