Incumbent Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar's strong fundraising—nearly $1 million raised in Q1 2026—and the district's R+6 partisan lean post-DeSantis redistricting have solidified trader consensus behind Republicans at 69.5% implied probability for the FL-27 House race. Recent Cook Political Report adjustments from Solid to Likely Republican in early April highlight some competitiveness amid a crowded Democratic primary featuring frontrunners Eliott Rodriguez and Robin Peguero, but early March polls showed Salazar leading hypotheticals by 3-7 points. Fragmented Democratic fundraising and primary dynamics on August 18 limit challenger momentum, though Hispanic voter shifts could narrow the gap ahead of November general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$10,194 Vol.
$10,194 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
70%
民主党
27%
$10,194 Vol.
$10,194 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$3,974 Vol.
70%
民主党
$6,220 Vol.
27%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar's strong fundraising—nearly $1 million raised in Q1 2026—and the district's R+6 partisan lean post-DeSantis redistricting have solidified trader consensus behind Republicans at 69.5% implied probability for the FL-27 House race. Recent Cook Political Report adjustments from Solid to Likely Republican in early April highlight some competitiveness amid a crowded Democratic primary featuring frontrunners Eliott Rodriguez and Robin Peguero, but early March polls showed Salazar leading hypotheticals by 3-7 points. Fragmented Democratic fundraising and primary dynamics on August 18 limit challenger momentum, though Hispanic voter shifts could narrow the gap ahead of November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
音量
$10,194終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar's strong fundraising—nearly $1 million raised in Q1 2026—and the district's R+6 partisan lean post-DeSantis redistricting have solidified trader consensus behind Republicans at 69.5% implied probability for the FL-27 House race. Recent Cook Political Report adjustments from Solid to Likely Republican in early April highlight some competitiveness amid a crowded Democratic primary featuring frontrunners Eliott Rodriguez and Robin Peguero, but early March polls showed Salazar leading hypotheticals by 3-7 points. Fragmented Democratic fundraising and primary dynamics on August 18 limit challenger momentum, though Hispanic voter shifts could narrow the gap ahead of November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$10,194終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar's strong fundraising—nearly $1 million raised in Q1 2026—and the district's R+6 partisan lean post-DeSantis redistricting have solidified trader consensus behind Republicans at 69.5% implied probability for the FL-27 House race. Recent Cook Political Report adjustments from Solid to Likely Republican in early April highlight some competitiveness amid a crowded Democratic primary featuring frontrunners Eliott Rodriguez and Robin Peguero, but early March polls showed Salazar leading hypotheticals by 3-7 points. Fragmented Democratic fundraising and primary dynamics on August 18 limit challenger momentum, though Hispanic voter shifts could narrow the gap ahead of November general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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