Florida's 26th congressional district features Republican incumbent Mario Díaz-Balart seeking a thirteenth term against Democrat Nicole Locklin in the November 3 general election. Mid-decade redistricting shifted the map to favor Republicans statewide, converting a district that narrowly supported the Democratic presidential candidate in 2024 into one projected to deliver double-digit Republican margins. Díaz-Balart advanced unopposed through the August 18 Republican primary, while Locklin secured the Democratic nomination without a contest. Forecasters rate the race as Likely or Solid Republican, citing the incumbent's established support, superior fundraising, and the district's revised partisan composition. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages, with limited recent developments capable of altering the trajectory before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$64,612 Vol.
$64,612 Vol.
2026/11/02
共和党
90%
民主党
12%
$64,612 Vol.
$64,612 Vol.
2026/11/02
共和党
$29,841 Vol.
90%
民主党
$34,770 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 26th congressional district features Republican incumbent Mario Díaz-Balart seeking a thirteenth term against Democrat Nicole Locklin in the November 3 general election. Mid-decade redistricting shifted the map to favor Republicans statewide, converting a district that narrowly supported the Democratic presidential candidate in 2024 into one projected to deliver double-digit Republican margins. Díaz-Balart advanced unopposed through the August 18 Republican primary, while Locklin secured the Democratic nomination without a contest. Forecasters rate the race as Likely or Solid Republican, citing the incumbent's established support, superior fundraising, and the district's revised partisan composition. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages, with limited recent developments capable of altering the trajectory before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
音量
$64,612終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 26th congressional district features Republican incumbent Mario Díaz-Balart seeking a thirteenth term against Democrat Nicole Locklin in the November 3 general election. Mid-decade redistricting shifted the map to favor Republicans statewide, converting a district that narrowly supported the Democratic presidential candidate in 2024 into one projected to deliver double-digit Republican margins. Díaz-Balart advanced unopposed through the August 18 Republican primary, while Locklin secured the Democratic nomination without a contest. Forecasters rate the race as Likely or Solid Republican, citing the incumbent's established support, superior fundraising, and the district's revised partisan composition. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages, with limited recent developments capable of altering the trajectory before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$64,612終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 26th congressional district features Republican incumbent Mario Díaz-Balart seeking a thirteenth term against Democrat Nicole Locklin in the November 3 general election. Mid-decade redistricting shifted the map to favor Republicans statewide, converting a district that narrowly supported the Democratic presidential candidate in 2024 into one projected to deliver double-digit Republican margins. Díaz-Balart advanced unopposed through the August 18 Republican primary, while Locklin secured the Democratic nomination without a contest. Forecasters rate the race as Likely or Solid Republican, citing the incumbent's established support, superior fundraising, and the district's revised partisan composition. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages, with limited recent developments capable of altering the trajectory before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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