West Virginia’s 2nd Congressional District remains one of the most reliably Republican seats nationwide, rated R+20 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index and carried by the GOP nominee by 42 points in 2024. Incumbent Riley Moore advanced unopposed through the May 12 primary while Democratic voters selected Ace Parsi, whose campaign and those of his primary rivals have raised under $100,000 combined compared with Moore’s $1.1 million. Forecasters rate the race Safe Republican, consistent with the district’s presidential voting patterns and Moore’s incumbency advantages. Trader consensus at 96.3 percent for a Republican victory reflects these structural realities. A major scandal, unforeseen health event, or unusually strong national Democratic wave would be required to produce a competitive contest before the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$65,687 Vol.
$65,687 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
96%
民主党
4%
$65,687 Vol.
$65,687 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$39,630 Vol.
96%
民主党
$26,057 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).West Virginia’s 2nd Congressional District remains one of the most reliably Republican seats nationwide, rated R+20 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index and carried by the GOP nominee by 42 points in 2024. Incumbent Riley Moore advanced unopposed through the May 12 primary while Democratic voters selected Ace Parsi, whose campaign and those of his primary rivals have raised under $100,000 combined compared with Moore’s $1.1 million. Forecasters rate the race Safe Republican, consistent with the district’s presidential voting patterns and Moore’s incumbency advantages. Trader consensus at 96.3 percent for a Republican victory reflects these structural realities. A major scandal, unforeseen health event, or unusually strong national Democratic wave would be required to produce a competitive contest before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$65,687終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).West Virginia’s 2nd Congressional District remains one of the most reliably Republican seats nationwide, rated R+20 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index and carried by the GOP nominee by 42 points in 2024. Incumbent Riley Moore advanced unopposed through the May 12 primary while Democratic voters selected Ace Parsi, whose campaign and those of his primary rivals have raised under $100,000 combined compared with Moore’s $1.1 million. Forecasters rate the race Safe Republican, consistent with the district’s presidential voting patterns and Moore’s incumbency advantages. Trader consensus at 96.3 percent for a Republican victory reflects these structural realities. A major scandal, unforeseen health event, or unusually strong national Democratic wave would be required to produce a competitive contest before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$65,687終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...West Virginia’s 2nd Congressional District remains one of the most reliably Republican seats nationwide, rated R+20 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index and carried by the GOP nominee by 42 points in 2024. Incumbent Riley Moore advanced unopposed through the May 12 primary while Democratic voters selected Ace Parsi, whose campaign and those of his primary rivals have raised under $100,000 combined compared with Moore’s $1.1 million. Forecasters rate the race Safe Republican, consistent with the district’s presidential voting patterns and Moore’s incumbency advantages. Trader consensus at 96.3 percent for a Republican victory reflects these structural realities. A major scandal, unforeseen health event, or unusually strong national Democratic wave would be required to produce a competitive contest before the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問