Trader consensus on Polymarket favors the Democratic Party at 60.5% implied probability to win Florida's 22nd Congressional District House seat, reflecting the district's D+4 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent Democratic general election victories, including incumbent Lois Frankel's 55%-45% win over Dan Franzese in 2024. Recent mid-decade redistricting finalized in late April 2026 reshaped boundaries along the Broward-Palm Beach coastline, prompting Frankel's announcement last week to seek reelection in the more Democratic-leaning new CD-23 instead, leaving FL-22 as an open race. A crowded Republican primary features eight candidates, including well-funded Herbert Wertheim and repeat challenger Franzese, while Democrats face a smaller field with Ian Blake and Victoria Doyle; no polls exist yet, with ratings split between Cook's Solid D and others leaning Republican. Primaries are August 18, 2026.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$14,103 Vol.
$14,103 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
56%
共和党
40%
$14,103 Vol.
$14,103 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$6,816 Vol.
56%
共和党
$7,287 Vol.
40%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus on Polymarket favors the Democratic Party at 60.5% implied probability to win Florida's 22nd Congressional District House seat, reflecting the district's D+4 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent Democratic general election victories, including incumbent Lois Frankel's 55%-45% win over Dan Franzese in 2024. Recent mid-decade redistricting finalized in late April 2026 reshaped boundaries along the Broward-Palm Beach coastline, prompting Frankel's announcement last week to seek reelection in the more Democratic-leaning new CD-23 instead, leaving FL-22 as an open race. A crowded Republican primary features eight candidates, including well-funded Herbert Wertheim and repeat challenger Franzese, while Democrats face a smaller field with Ian Blake and Victoria Doyle; no polls exist yet, with ratings split between Cook's Solid D and others leaning Republican. Primaries are August 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
音量
$14,103終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus on Polymarket favors the Democratic Party at 60.5% implied probability to win Florida's 22nd Congressional District House seat, reflecting the district's D+4 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent Democratic general election victories, including incumbent Lois Frankel's 55%-45% win over Dan Franzese in 2024. Recent mid-decade redistricting finalized in late April 2026 reshaped boundaries along the Broward-Palm Beach coastline, prompting Frankel's announcement last week to seek reelection in the more Democratic-leaning new CD-23 instead, leaving FL-22 as an open race. A crowded Republican primary features eight candidates, including well-funded Herbert Wertheim and repeat challenger Franzese, while Democrats face a smaller field with Ian Blake and Victoria Doyle; no polls exist yet, with ratings split between Cook's Solid D and others leaning Republican. Primaries are August 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$14,103終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors the Democratic Party at 60.5% implied probability to win Florida's 22nd Congressional District House seat, reflecting the district's D+4 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent Democratic general election victories, including incumbent Lois Frankel's 55%-45% win over Dan Franzese in 2024. Recent mid-decade redistricting finalized in late April 2026 reshaped boundaries along the Broward-Palm Beach coastline, prompting Frankel's announcement last week to seek reelection in the more Democratic-leaning new CD-23 instead, leaving FL-22 as an open race. A crowded Republican primary features eight candidates, including well-funded Herbert Wertheim and repeat challenger Franzese, while Democrats face a smaller field with Ian Blake and Victoria Doyle; no polls exist yet, with ratings split between Cook's Solid D and others leaning Republican. Primaries are August 18, 2026.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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