Recent Léger and Synopsis polling shows the Parti Québécois leading province-wide at roughly 30 percent ahead of the October 5 election, leaving the Coalition Avenir Québec and Parti Libéral du Québec essentially tied near 23 percent for second. Regional fragmentation sustains the deadlock: Liberals dominate the Island of Montreal while the CAQ and PQ compete closely in Quebec City, the 450 suburbs, and francophone ridings outside the metropolis. Voter consolidation away from Québec Solidaire has boosted both the CAQ and Conservatives without yet breaking the CAQ–PLQ tie. With the campaign just underway after dissolution on August 27, second-choice preferences remain fluid and turnout patterns in battleground ridings will determine which party finishes ahead of the other.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日CAQ 39%
PQ 26%
PCQ 24%
QS 23%
新規
新規
2026/10/04
CAQ
39%
PQ
26%
PCQ
24%
QS
23%
PVQ
21%
PLQ
42%
CAQ 39%
PQ 26%
PCQ 24%
QS 23%
新規
新規
2026/10/04
CAQ
$0 Vol.
39%
PQ
$0 Vol.
26%
PCQ
$45 Vol.
24%
QS
$101 Vol.
23%
PVQ
$166 Vol.
21%
PLQ
$10 Vol.
42%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent Léger and Synopsis polling shows the Parti Québécois leading province-wide at roughly 30 percent ahead of the October 5 election, leaving the Coalition Avenir Québec and Parti Libéral du Québec essentially tied near 23 percent for second. Regional fragmentation sustains the deadlock: Liberals dominate the Island of Montreal while the CAQ and PQ compete closely in Quebec City, the 450 suburbs, and francophone ridings outside the metropolis. Voter consolidation away from Québec Solidaire has boosted both the CAQ and Conservatives without yet breaking the CAQ–PLQ tie. With the campaign just underway after dissolution on August 27, second-choice preferences remain fluid and turnout patterns in battleground ridings will determine which party finishes ahead of the other.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
マーケット開始日： Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ET
音量
$322終了日
2026/10/05マーケット開始日
Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent Léger and Synopsis polling shows the Parti Québécois leading province-wide at roughly 30 percent ahead of the October 5 election, leaving the Coalition Avenir Québec and Parti Libéral du Québec essentially tied near 23 percent for second. Regional fragmentation sustains the deadlock: Liberals dominate the Island of Montreal while the CAQ and PQ compete closely in Quebec City, the 450 suburbs, and francophone ridings outside the metropolis. Voter consolidation away from Québec Solidaire has boosted both the CAQ and Conservatives without yet breaking the CAQ–PLQ tie. With the campaign just underway after dissolution on August 27, second-choice preferences remain fluid and turnout patterns in battleground ridings will determine which party finishes ahead of the other.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
音量
$322終了日
2026/10/05マーケット開始日
Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Léger and Synopsis polling shows the Parti Québécois leading province-wide at roughly 30 percent ahead of the October 5 election, leaving the Coalition Avenir Québec and Parti Libéral du Québec essentially tied near 23 percent for second. Regional fragmentation sustains the deadlock: Liberals dominate the Island of Montreal while the CAQ and PQ compete closely in Quebec City, the 450 suburbs, and francophone ridings outside the metropolis. Voter consolidation away from Québec Solidaire has boosted both the CAQ and Conservatives without yet breaking the CAQ–PLQ tie. With the campaign just underway after dissolution on August 27, second-choice preferences remain fluid and turnout patterns in battleground ridings will determine which party finishes ahead of the other.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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