Iceland's August 29, 2026, referendum on resuming EU accession negotiations produced a clear rejection, with 52.84% voting no and 47.16% yes amid 82.5% turnout. Fisheries sovereignty, rural opposition to ceding control over quotas, and preference for maintaining the existing EEA framework outweighed arguments for greater security ties or trade stability amid Arctic tensions. Prime Minister Kristrún Frostadóttir's government has stated the issue will not advance during its term, aligning with historical patterns where narrow defeats on EU matters stalled further action. Trader consensus at 99.9% for no reflects this settled outcome and official results, though formal withdrawal of the long-dormant application or future coalition shifts after 2028 could theoretically reopen debate.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
<1% 確率
$279,011 Vol.
$279,011 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
<1% 確率
$279,011 Vol.
$279,011 Vol.
2026/12/31
The Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum is a ballot referendum in which voters will be asked whether Iceland should restart membership negotiations with the European Union. This referendum is currently scheduled to be held on August 29, 2026. You can find more information about the referendum here: https://government.is/topics/foreign-affairs/iceland-in-europe/referendum/.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iceland passes this referendum. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the election is officially rescheduled to a date prior to December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to "no" if no qualifying referendum vote is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if such a referendum is scheduled to be held later than such date.
The resolution source will be based on the official certified results of the vote as published by the National Electoral Commission of Iceland. Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.Iceland's August 29, 2026, referendum on resuming EU accession negotiations produced a clear rejection, with 52.84% voting no and 47.16% yes amid 82.5% turnout. Fisheries sovereignty, rural opposition to ceding control over quotas, and preference for maintaining the existing EEA framework outweighed arguments for greater security ties or trade stability amid Arctic tensions. Prime Minister Kristrún Frostadóttir's government has stated the issue will not advance during its term, aligning with historical patterns where narrow defeats on EU matters stalled further action. Trader consensus at 99.9% for no reflects this settled outcome and official results, though formal withdrawal of the long-dormant application or future coalition shifts after 2028 could theoretically reopen debate.
The Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum is a ballot referendum in which voters will be asked whether Iceland should restart membership negotiations with the European Union. This referendum is currently scheduled to be held on August 29, 2026. You can find more information about the referendum here: https://government.is/topics/foreign-affairs/iceland-in-europe/referendum/.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iceland passes this referendum. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the election is officially rescheduled to a date prior to December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to "no" if no qualifying referendum vote is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if such a referendum is scheduled to be held later than such date.
The resolution source will be based on the official certified results of the vote as published by the National Electoral Commission of Iceland. Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iceland passes this referendum. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the election is officially rescheduled to a date prior to December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to "no" if no qualifying referendum vote is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if such a referendum is scheduled to be held later than such date.
The resolution source will be based on the official certified results of the vote as published by the National Electoral Commission of Iceland. Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jun 10, 2026, 11:43 AM ET
音量
$279,011終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Jun 10, 2026, 11:43 AM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...The Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum is a ballot referendum in which voters will be asked whether Iceland should restart membership negotiations with the European Union. This referendum is currently scheduled to be held on August 29, 2026. You can find more information about the referendum here: https://government.is/topics/foreign-affairs/iceland-in-europe/referendum/.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iceland passes this referendum. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the election is officially rescheduled to a date prior to December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to "no" if no qualifying referendum vote is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if such a referendum is scheduled to be held later than such date.
The resolution source will be based on the official certified results of the vote as published by the National Electoral Commission of Iceland. Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.Iceland's August 29, 2026, referendum on resuming EU accession negotiations produced a clear rejection, with 52.84% voting no and 47.16% yes amid 82.5% turnout. Fisheries sovereignty, rural opposition to ceding control over quotas, and preference for maintaining the existing EEA framework outweighed arguments for greater security ties or trade stability amid Arctic tensions. Prime Minister Kristrún Frostadóttir's government has stated the issue will not advance during its term, aligning with historical patterns where narrow defeats on EU matters stalled further action. Trader consensus at 99.9% for no reflects this settled outcome and official results, though formal withdrawal of the long-dormant application or future coalition shifts after 2028 could theoretically reopen debate.
The Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum is a ballot referendum in which voters will be asked whether Iceland should restart membership negotiations with the European Union. This referendum is currently scheduled to be held on August 29, 2026. You can find more information about the referendum here: https://government.is/topics/foreign-affairs/iceland-in-europe/referendum/.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iceland passes this referendum. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the election is officially rescheduled to a date prior to December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to "no" if no qualifying referendum vote is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if such a referendum is scheduled to be held later than such date.
The resolution source will be based on the official certified results of the vote as published by the National Electoral Commission of Iceland. Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iceland passes this referendum. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the election is officially rescheduled to a date prior to December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to "no" if no qualifying referendum vote is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if such a referendum is scheduled to be held later than such date.
The resolution source will be based on the official certified results of the vote as published by the National Electoral Commission of Iceland. Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.
音量
$279,011終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Jun 10, 2026, 11:43 AM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...Iceland's August 29, 2026, referendum on resuming EU accession negotiations produced a clear rejection, with 52.84% voting no and 47.16% yes amid 82.5% turnout. Fisheries sovereignty, rural opposition to ceding control over quotas, and preference for maintaining the existing EEA framework outweighed arguments for greater security ties or trade stability amid Arctic tensions. Prime Minister Kristrún Frostadóttir's government has stated the issue will not advance during its term, aligning with historical patterns where narrow defeats on EU matters stalled further action. Trader consensus at 99.9% for no reflects this settled outcome and official results, though formal withdrawal of the long-dormant application or future coalition shifts after 2028 could theoretically reopen debate.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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