The current governing coalition in Greenland, led by Prime Minister Jens-Frederik Nielsen following the 2025 parliamentary election, has prioritized a gradual path toward independence under the 2009 Self-Government Act, deferring any referendum until after a constitutional commission delivers its report in late 2026. This timeline, combined with requirements for Inatsisartut approval, a popular vote, and Danish parliamentary consent, along with economic concerns that temper public support in polls, underpins trader consensus against a 2026 independence referendum and affirmative outcome. Late shifts remain possible if the commission accelerates its work, coalition dynamics change, or major economic or diplomatic developments alter priorities before year-end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
5% 確率
$47,956 Vol.
$47,956 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
5% 確率
$47,956 Vol.
$47,956 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Greenland holds an independence referendum and a majority of voters in the referendum vote for independence by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A referendum to join a country other than Denmark will be considered to be a referendum for independence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Greenland and/or Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The current governing coalition in Greenland, led by Prime Minister Jens-Frederik Nielsen following the 2025 parliamentary election, has prioritized a gradual path toward independence under the 2009 Self-Government Act, deferring any referendum until after a constitutional commission delivers its report in late 2026. This timeline, combined with requirements for Inatsisartut approval, a popular vote, and Danish parliamentary consent, along with economic concerns that temper public support in polls, underpins trader consensus against a 2026 independence referendum and affirmative outcome. Late shifts remain possible if the commission accelerates its work, coalition dynamics change, or major economic or diplomatic developments alter priorities before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Greenland holds an independence referendum and a majority of voters in the referendum vote for independence by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A referendum to join a country other than Denmark will be considered to be a referendum for independence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Greenland and/or Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A referendum to join a country other than Denmark will be considered to be a referendum for independence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Greenland and/or Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jan 12, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
音量
$47,956終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 12, 2026, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Greenland holds an independence referendum and a majority of voters in the referendum vote for independence by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A referendum to join a country other than Denmark will be considered to be a referendum for independence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Greenland and/or Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The current governing coalition in Greenland, led by Prime Minister Jens-Frederik Nielsen following the 2025 parliamentary election, has prioritized a gradual path toward independence under the 2009 Self-Government Act, deferring any referendum until after a constitutional commission delivers its report in late 2026. This timeline, combined with requirements for Inatsisartut approval, a popular vote, and Danish parliamentary consent, along with economic concerns that temper public support in polls, underpins trader consensus against a 2026 independence referendum and affirmative outcome. Late shifts remain possible if the commission accelerates its work, coalition dynamics change, or major economic or diplomatic developments alter priorities before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Greenland holds an independence referendum and a majority of voters in the referendum vote for independence by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A referendum to join a country other than Denmark will be considered to be a referendum for independence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Greenland and/or Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A referendum to join a country other than Denmark will be considered to be a referendum for independence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Greenland and/or Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$47,956終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 12, 2026, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The current governing coalition in Greenland, led by Prime Minister Jens-Frederik Nielsen following the 2025 parliamentary election, has prioritized a gradual path toward independence under the 2009 Self-Government Act, deferring any referendum until after a constitutional commission delivers its report in late 2026. This timeline, combined with requirements for Inatsisartut approval, a popular vote, and Danish parliamentary consent, along with economic concerns that temper public support in polls, underpins trader consensus against a 2026 independence referendum and affirmative outcome. Late shifts remain possible if the commission accelerates its work, coalition dynamics change, or major economic or diplomatic developments alter priorities before year-end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問