Umaru Dikko Radda holds an 85% implied probability as the leading outcome in the Katsina 2027 gubernatorial election market, reflecting his position as the incumbent APC governor who secured the party's consensus nomination, received nomination forms from INEC, and earned a unanimous confidence vote from the state assembly. Garba Yakubu Lado, the PDP nominee who won his party's primary in May 2026 after previously contesting in 2023, sits at 11.5% amid limited recent momentum. Katsina's APC dominance, Radda's early party unity efforts, and structural advantages for incumbents in Nigerian state races continue to anchor trader assessments, while the absence of major new opposition breakthroughs or internal APC fractures has kept probabilities stable since the spring primaries.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2027/02/06
ウマル・ディッコ・ラッダ
85%
ガルバ・ヤクブ・ラド
12%
新規
新規
2027/02/06
ウマル・ディッコ・ラッダ
$3,494 Vol.
85%
ガルバ・ヤクブ・ラド
$4,697 Vol.
12%
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Katsina State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Katsina State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.Umaru Dikko Radda holds an 85% implied probability as the leading outcome in the Katsina 2027 gubernatorial election market, reflecting his position as the incumbent APC governor who secured the party's consensus nomination, received nomination forms from INEC, and earned a unanimous confidence vote from the state assembly. Garba Yakubu Lado, the PDP nominee who won his party's primary in May 2026 after previously contesting in 2023, sits at 11.5% amid limited recent momentum. Katsina's APC dominance, Radda's early party unity efforts, and structural advantages for incumbents in Nigerian state races continue to anchor trader assessments, while the absence of major new opposition breakthroughs or internal APC fractures has kept probabilities stable since the spring primaries.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Katsina State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Katsina State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Katsina State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
マーケット開始日： Aug 24, 2026, 8:09 PM ET
音量
$8,191終了日
2027/02/06マーケット開始日
Aug 24, 2026, 8:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Katsina State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Katsina State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.Umaru Dikko Radda holds an 85% implied probability as the leading outcome in the Katsina 2027 gubernatorial election market, reflecting his position as the incumbent APC governor who secured the party's consensus nomination, received nomination forms from INEC, and earned a unanimous confidence vote from the state assembly. Garba Yakubu Lado, the PDP nominee who won his party's primary in May 2026 after previously contesting in 2023, sits at 11.5% amid limited recent momentum. Katsina's APC dominance, Radda's early party unity efforts, and structural advantages for incumbents in Nigerian state races continue to anchor trader assessments, while the absence of major new opposition breakthroughs or internal APC fractures has kept probabilities stable since the spring primaries.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Katsina State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Katsina State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Katsina State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
音量
$8,191終了日
2027/02/06マーケット開始日
Aug 24, 2026, 8:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Umaru Dikko Radda holds an 85% implied probability as the leading outcome in the Katsina 2027 gubernatorial election market, reflecting his position as the incumbent APC governor who secured the party's consensus nomination, received nomination forms from INEC, and earned a unanimous confidence vote from the state assembly. Garba Yakubu Lado, the PDP nominee who won his party's primary in May 2026 after previously contesting in 2023, sits at 11.5% amid limited recent momentum. Katsina's APC dominance, Radda's early party unity efforts, and structural advantages for incumbents in Nigerian state races continue to anchor trader assessments, while the absence of major new opposition breakthroughs or internal APC fractures has kept probabilities stable since the spring primaries.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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