Incumbent Rep. Sharice Davids (D) solidified trader consensus at 87.5% for Democratic victory in KS-03 by filing for reelection on May 11, confirming she will seek a fourth term rather than a Senate bid and easing uncertainty over the Democratic nomination ahead of the August 4 primary. Davids' consistent double-digit margins, including her 2024 reelection over Prasanth Reddy (R), anchor the district's Solid Democratic rating per Cook Political Report and models implying 11+ point leads. Suburban Johnson County voters favor her moderate profile amid weak GOP fundraising and challenger fields, pricing Republicans at 12.5%. Shifts could arise from primary surprises, scandals, or national midterm turnout dynamics, though barriers remain high for challengers.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$12,257 Vol.
$12,257 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
89%
共和党
12%
$12,257 Vol.
$12,257 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$2,851 Vol.
89%
共和党
$9,406 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Sharice Davids (D) solidified trader consensus at 87.5% for Democratic victory in KS-03 by filing for reelection on May 11, confirming she will seek a fourth term rather than a Senate bid and easing uncertainty over the Democratic nomination ahead of the August 4 primary. Davids' consistent double-digit margins, including her 2024 reelection over Prasanth Reddy (R), anchor the district's Solid Democratic rating per Cook Political Report and models implying 11+ point leads. Suburban Johnson County voters favor her moderate profile amid weak GOP fundraising and challenger fields, pricing Republicans at 12.5%. Shifts could arise from primary surprises, scandals, or national midterm turnout dynamics, though barriers remain high for challengers.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$12,257終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Sharice Davids (D) solidified trader consensus at 87.5% for Democratic victory in KS-03 by filing for reelection on May 11, confirming she will seek a fourth term rather than a Senate bid and easing uncertainty over the Democratic nomination ahead of the August 4 primary. Davids' consistent double-digit margins, including her 2024 reelection over Prasanth Reddy (R), anchor the district's Solid Democratic rating per Cook Political Report and models implying 11+ point leads. Suburban Johnson County voters favor her moderate profile amid weak GOP fundraising and challenger fields, pricing Republicans at 12.5%. Shifts could arise from primary surprises, scandals, or national midterm turnout dynamics, though barriers remain high for challengers.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$12,257終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Sharice Davids (D) solidified trader consensus at 87.5% for Democratic victory in KS-03 by filing for reelection on May 11, confirming she will seek a fourth term rather than a Senate bid and easing uncertainty over the Democratic nomination ahead of the August 4 primary. Davids' consistent double-digit margins, including her 2024 reelection over Prasanth Reddy (R), anchor the district's Solid Democratic rating per Cook Political Report and models implying 11+ point leads. Suburban Johnson County voters favor her moderate profile amid weak GOP fundraising and challenger fields, pricing Republicans at 12.5%. Shifts could arise from primary surprises, scandals, or national midterm turnout dynamics, though barriers remain high for challengers.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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