Florida's 20th Congressional District, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+22, has delivered consistent Democratic landslides—often exceeding 70% in general elections—driving trader consensus to price the Democratic Party at 92.5% for the November 3, 2026, House election winner. The seat became vacant after Rep. Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick's April 21 resignation amid an ethics probe, but mid-decade redistricting preserved its Solid Democratic rating per Cook Political Report. A crowded six-way Democratic primary on August 18 features strong fundraisers like Elijah Manley ($780K raised), contrasting a low-resource Republican field. While a national Republican midterm wave, Democratic nominee scandal, or primary bloodbath could challenge this, such shifts remain improbable given historical base rates and district demographics favoring Black voters and urban Broward County.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$15,060 Vol.
$15,060 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
93%
共和党
8%
$15,060 Vol.
$15,060 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$5,956 Vol.
93%
共和党
$9,104 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 20th Congressional District, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+22, has delivered consistent Democratic landslides—often exceeding 70% in general elections—driving trader consensus to price the Democratic Party at 92.5% for the November 3, 2026, House election winner. The seat became vacant after Rep. Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick's April 21 resignation amid an ethics probe, but mid-decade redistricting preserved its Solid Democratic rating per Cook Political Report. A crowded six-way Democratic primary on August 18 features strong fundraisers like Elijah Manley ($780K raised), contrasting a low-resource Republican field. While a national Republican midterm wave, Democratic nominee scandal, or primary bloodbath could challenge this, such shifts remain improbable given historical base rates and district demographics favoring Black voters and urban Broward County.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
音量
$15,060終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 20th Congressional District, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+22, has delivered consistent Democratic landslides—often exceeding 70% in general elections—driving trader consensus to price the Democratic Party at 92.5% for the November 3, 2026, House election winner. The seat became vacant after Rep. Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick's April 21 resignation amid an ethics probe, but mid-decade redistricting preserved its Solid Democratic rating per Cook Political Report. A crowded six-way Democratic primary on August 18 features strong fundraisers like Elijah Manley ($780K raised), contrasting a low-resource Republican field. While a national Republican midterm wave, Democratic nominee scandal, or primary bloodbath could challenge this, such shifts remain improbable given historical base rates and district demographics favoring Black voters and urban Broward County.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$15,060終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 20th Congressional District, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+22, has delivered consistent Democratic landslides—often exceeding 70% in general elections—driving trader consensus to price the Democratic Party at 92.5% for the November 3, 2026, House election winner. The seat became vacant after Rep. Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick's April 21 resignation amid an ethics probe, but mid-decade redistricting preserved its Solid Democratic rating per Cook Political Report. A crowded six-way Democratic primary on August 18 features strong fundraisers like Elijah Manley ($780K raised), contrasting a low-resource Republican field. While a national Republican midterm wave, Democratic nominee scandal, or primary bloodbath could challenge this, such shifts remain improbable given historical base rates and district demographics favoring Black voters and urban Broward County.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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