Florida's 20th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+22, making it the most Democratic seat in the state and producing consistent large margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. The April 2026 resignation of the prior representative created an open seat for the 2026 cycle, but the August 18 Democratic primary will select the nominee who faces only token Republican opposition in November. Primary polling and candidate filings confirm multiple Democratic contenders while Republican entries remain limited and underfunded. Trader consensus at 94.5% for the Democratic Party reflects these structural fundamentals; a shift would require an unforeseen event such as a late primary upset followed by an unprecedented general-election surge or major scandal affecting the eventual nominee.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$29,031 Vol.
$29,031 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
95%
共和党
3%
$29,031 Vol.
$29,031 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$19,019 Vol.
95%
共和党
$10,012 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 20th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+22, making it the most Democratic seat in the state and producing consistent large margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. The April 2026 resignation of the prior representative created an open seat for the 2026 cycle, but the August 18 Democratic primary will select the nominee who faces only token Republican opposition in November. Primary polling and candidate filings confirm multiple Democratic contenders while Republican entries remain limited and underfunded. Trader consensus at 94.5% for the Democratic Party reflects these structural fundamentals; a shift would require an unforeseen event such as a late primary upset followed by an unprecedented general-election surge or major scandal affecting the eventual nominee.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
音量
$29,031終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 20th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+22, making it the most Democratic seat in the state and producing consistent large margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. The April 2026 resignation of the prior representative created an open seat for the 2026 cycle, but the August 18 Democratic primary will select the nominee who faces only token Republican opposition in November. Primary polling and candidate filings confirm multiple Democratic contenders while Republican entries remain limited and underfunded. Trader consensus at 94.5% for the Democratic Party reflects these structural fundamentals; a shift would require an unforeseen event such as a late primary upset followed by an unprecedented general-election surge or major scandal affecting the eventual nominee.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$29,031終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 20th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+22, making it the most Democratic seat in the state and producing consistent large margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. The April 2026 resignation of the prior representative created an open seat for the 2026 cycle, but the August 18 Democratic primary will select the nominee who faces only token Republican opposition in November. Primary polling and candidate filings confirm multiple Democratic contenders while Republican entries remain limited and underfunded. Trader consensus at 94.5% for the Democratic Party reflects these structural fundamentals; a shift would require an unforeseen event such as a late primary upset followed by an unprecedented general-election surge or major scandal affecting the eventual nominee.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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