Michigan's 12th Congressional District, with a D+21 partisan voting index, overwhelmingly favors Democrats, as evidenced by incumbent Rashida Tlaib's 69.7% victory in the 2024 general election and similar margins in prior cycles against Republican James Hooper, who has filed again. The April 21 filing deadline locked in a crowded Democratic primary featuring Tlaib, Inkster Mayor Byron Nolen, former state Rep. Shanelle Jackson, and Allen Downer, but traders view the general election outcome as a foregone conclusion regardless of the August 4 primary winner, pricing Democratic Party control at 93%. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days to alter this dynamic. A Republican upset would require an extraordinary Democratic scandal post-primary, a high-profile GOP recruit, or a national midterm wave shifting battleground turnout.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$28,833 Vol.
$28,833 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
93%
共和党
5%
$28,833 Vol.
$28,833 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$17,658 Vol.
93%
共和党
$11,175 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 12th Congressional District, with a D+21 partisan voting index, overwhelmingly favors Democrats, as evidenced by incumbent Rashida Tlaib's 69.7% victory in the 2024 general election and similar margins in prior cycles against Republican James Hooper, who has filed again. The April 21 filing deadline locked in a crowded Democratic primary featuring Tlaib, Inkster Mayor Byron Nolen, former state Rep. Shanelle Jackson, and Allen Downer, but traders view the general election outcome as a foregone conclusion regardless of the August 4 primary winner, pricing Democratic Party control at 93%. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days to alter this dynamic. A Republican upset would require an extraordinary Democratic scandal post-primary, a high-profile GOP recruit, or a national midterm wave shifting battleground turnout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$28,833終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 12th Congressional District, with a D+21 partisan voting index, overwhelmingly favors Democrats, as evidenced by incumbent Rashida Tlaib's 69.7% victory in the 2024 general election and similar margins in prior cycles against Republican James Hooper, who has filed again. The April 21 filing deadline locked in a crowded Democratic primary featuring Tlaib, Inkster Mayor Byron Nolen, former state Rep. Shanelle Jackson, and Allen Downer, but traders view the general election outcome as a foregone conclusion regardless of the August 4 primary winner, pricing Democratic Party control at 93%. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days to alter this dynamic. A Republican upset would require an extraordinary Democratic scandal post-primary, a high-profile GOP recruit, or a national midterm wave shifting battleground turnout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$28,833終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Michigan's 12th Congressional District, with a D+21 partisan voting index, overwhelmingly favors Democrats, as evidenced by incumbent Rashida Tlaib's 69.7% victory in the 2024 general election and similar margins in prior cycles against Republican James Hooper, who has filed again. The April 21 filing deadline locked in a crowded Democratic primary featuring Tlaib, Inkster Mayor Byron Nolen, former state Rep. Shanelle Jackson, and Allen Downer, but traders view the general election outcome as a foregone conclusion regardless of the August 4 primary winner, pricing Democratic Party control at 93%. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days to alter this dynamic. A Republican upset would require an extraordinary Democratic scandal post-primary, a high-profile GOP recruit, or a national midterm wave shifting battleground turnout.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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