Michigan's 12th Congressional District, encompassing urban and suburban areas around Detroit and Dearborn in Wayne and Oakland counties, maintains a strong Democratic lean that underpins the market's heavy weighting toward the party. Incumbent Rashida Tlaib secured the Democratic nomination in the August 4, 2026 primary with roughly 74 percent of the vote against two challengers, while Republican James Hooper advances as the general-election opponent in a seat last won by Democrats with nearly 70 percent in 2024. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Democrat, reflecting consistent voter registration advantages and limited crossover appeal. The November 3 general-election timeline leaves little room for disruption absent major developments such as a health event for the nominee or an unexpected national political shift that alters baseline turnout patterns in this safely held district.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$33,410 Vol.
$33,410 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
95%
共和党
5%
$33,410 Vol.
$33,410 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$21,161 Vol.
95%
共和党
$12,249 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 12th Congressional District, encompassing urban and suburban areas around Detroit and Dearborn in Wayne and Oakland counties, maintains a strong Democratic lean that underpins the market's heavy weighting toward the party. Incumbent Rashida Tlaib secured the Democratic nomination in the August 4, 2026 primary with roughly 74 percent of the vote against two challengers, while Republican James Hooper advances as the general-election opponent in a seat last won by Democrats with nearly 70 percent in 2024. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Democrat, reflecting consistent voter registration advantages and limited crossover appeal. The November 3 general-election timeline leaves little room for disruption absent major developments such as a health event for the nominee or an unexpected national political shift that alters baseline turnout patterns in this safely held district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$33,410終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 12th Congressional District, encompassing urban and suburban areas around Detroit and Dearborn in Wayne and Oakland counties, maintains a strong Democratic lean that underpins the market's heavy weighting toward the party. Incumbent Rashida Tlaib secured the Democratic nomination in the August 4, 2026 primary with roughly 74 percent of the vote against two challengers, while Republican James Hooper advances as the general-election opponent in a seat last won by Democrats with nearly 70 percent in 2024. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Democrat, reflecting consistent voter registration advantages and limited crossover appeal. The November 3 general-election timeline leaves little room for disruption absent major developments such as a health event for the nominee or an unexpected national political shift that alters baseline turnout patterns in this safely held district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$33,410終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Michigan's 12th Congressional District, encompassing urban and suburban areas around Detroit and Dearborn in Wayne and Oakland counties, maintains a strong Democratic lean that underpins the market's heavy weighting toward the party. Incumbent Rashida Tlaib secured the Democratic nomination in the August 4, 2026 primary with roughly 74 percent of the vote against two challengers, while Republican James Hooper advances as the general-election opponent in a seat last won by Democrats with nearly 70 percent in 2024. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Democrat, reflecting consistent voter registration advantages and limited crossover appeal. The November 3 general-election timeline leaves little room for disruption absent major developments such as a health event for the nominee or an unexpected national political shift that alters baseline turnout patterns in this safely held district.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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