Debbie Dingell’s long incumbency and the district’s consistent Democratic lean drive the 93.5% trader consensus for the Democratic nominee in Michigan’s 6th congressional district. The seat, which encompasses Washtenaw County and portions of Wayne and Oakland counties, delivered Dingell a 62% victory in 2024 and carries a Solid D rating from nonpartisan analysts. Recent primary results formalized the general-election matchup against Republican Heather Smiley without altering the underlying partisan balance. Historical re-election rates for incumbents in comparable districts and the absence of competitive polling or major campaign developments reinforce the current implied probability. A significant national partisan swing, late-breaking scandal, or health event could still narrow the margin, though structural factors make such shifts unlikely before November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$43,725 Vol.
$43,725 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
94%
共和党
2%
$43,725 Vol.
$43,725 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$18,448 Vol.
94%
共和党
$25,278 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Debbie Dingell’s long incumbency and the district’s consistent Democratic lean drive the 93.5% trader consensus for the Democratic nominee in Michigan’s 6th congressional district. The seat, which encompasses Washtenaw County and portions of Wayne and Oakland counties, delivered Dingell a 62% victory in 2024 and carries a Solid D rating from nonpartisan analysts. Recent primary results formalized the general-election matchup against Republican Heather Smiley without altering the underlying partisan balance. Historical re-election rates for incumbents in comparable districts and the absence of competitive polling or major campaign developments reinforce the current implied probability. A significant national partisan swing, late-breaking scandal, or health event could still narrow the margin, though structural factors make such shifts unlikely before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$43,725終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Debbie Dingell’s long incumbency and the district’s consistent Democratic lean drive the 93.5% trader consensus for the Democratic nominee in Michigan’s 6th congressional district. The seat, which encompasses Washtenaw County and portions of Wayne and Oakland counties, delivered Dingell a 62% victory in 2024 and carries a Solid D rating from nonpartisan analysts. Recent primary results formalized the general-election matchup against Republican Heather Smiley without altering the underlying partisan balance. Historical re-election rates for incumbents in comparable districts and the absence of competitive polling or major campaign developments reinforce the current implied probability. A significant national partisan swing, late-breaking scandal, or health event could still narrow the margin, though structural factors make such shifts unlikely before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$43,725終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Debbie Dingell’s long incumbency and the district’s consistent Democratic lean drive the 93.5% trader consensus for the Democratic nominee in Michigan’s 6th congressional district. The seat, which encompasses Washtenaw County and portions of Wayne and Oakland counties, delivered Dingell a 62% victory in 2024 and carries a Solid D rating from nonpartisan analysts. Recent primary results formalized the general-election matchup against Republican Heather Smiley without altering the underlying partisan balance. Historical re-election rates for incumbents in comparable districts and the absence of competitive polling or major campaign developments reinforce the current implied probability. A significant national partisan swing, late-breaking scandal, or health event could still narrow the margin, though structural factors make such shifts unlikely before November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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