Pennsylvania's 2nd Congressional District remains a strongly Democratic seat, anchored by its D+19 Partisan Voter Index and consistent performance in Northeast Philadelphia and surrounding areas. Incumbent Democrat Brendan Boyle, seeking reelection in the November 3 general election, benefits from a 71% margin in 2024 and faces only nominal primary opposition ahead of the May 19 vote. The sole Republican primary candidate, Jessica Arriaga, lacks comparable fundraising or name recognition, aligning with Cook Political Report's Solid Democratic rating and historical base rates exceeding 95% reelection for similar incumbents. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic Party reflects these structural factors, though late developments such as a Boyle health issue, major scandal, or national Republican surge could still alter the outcome before November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$22,015 Vol.
$22,015 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
94%
共和党
5%
$22,015 Vol.
$22,015 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$4,954 Vol.
94%
共和党
$17,061 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Pennsylvania's 2nd Congressional District remains a strongly Democratic seat, anchored by its D+19 Partisan Voter Index and consistent performance in Northeast Philadelphia and surrounding areas. Incumbent Democrat Brendan Boyle, seeking reelection in the November 3 general election, benefits from a 71% margin in 2024 and faces only nominal primary opposition ahead of the May 19 vote. The sole Republican primary candidate, Jessica Arriaga, lacks comparable fundraising or name recognition, aligning with Cook Political Report's Solid Democratic rating and historical base rates exceeding 95% reelection for similar incumbents. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic Party reflects these structural factors, though late developments such as a Boyle health issue, major scandal, or national Republican surge could still alter the outcome before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$22,015終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Pennsylvania's 2nd Congressional District remains a strongly Democratic seat, anchored by its D+19 Partisan Voter Index and consistent performance in Northeast Philadelphia and surrounding areas. Incumbent Democrat Brendan Boyle, seeking reelection in the November 3 general election, benefits from a 71% margin in 2024 and faces only nominal primary opposition ahead of the May 19 vote. The sole Republican primary candidate, Jessica Arriaga, lacks comparable fundraising or name recognition, aligning with Cook Political Report's Solid Democratic rating and historical base rates exceeding 95% reelection for similar incumbents. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic Party reflects these structural factors, though late developments such as a Boyle health issue, major scandal, or national Republican surge could still alter the outcome before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$22,015終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Pennsylvania's 2nd Congressional District remains a strongly Democratic seat, anchored by its D+19 Partisan Voter Index and consistent performance in Northeast Philadelphia and surrounding areas. Incumbent Democrat Brendan Boyle, seeking reelection in the November 3 general election, benefits from a 71% margin in 2024 and faces only nominal primary opposition ahead of the May 19 vote. The sole Republican primary candidate, Jessica Arriaga, lacks comparable fundraising or name recognition, aligning with Cook Political Report's Solid Democratic rating and historical base rates exceeding 95% reelection for similar incumbents. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic Party reflects these structural factors, though late developments such as a Boyle health issue, major scandal, or national Republican surge could still alter the outcome before November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問