The district's pronounced Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent electoral history, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Representative Brendan Boyle secured renomination in the May 2026 primary and enters the November general election against Republican Jessica Arriaga with established name recognition, fundraising strength, and prior victories exceeding 70 percent. Race ratings from multiple forecasters classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic. Limited recent developments have altered positioning, with no major polling shifts or candidate controversies reported since primaries. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include a late national partisan swing, health-related withdrawal, or significant local scandal, though structural factors make substantial movement improbable before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$35,660 Vol.
$35,660 Vol.
2026/11/02
民主党
95%
共和党
2%
$35,660 Vol.
$35,660 Vol.
2026/11/02
民主党
$6,352 Vol.
95%
共和党
$29,308 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's pronounced Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent electoral history, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Representative Brendan Boyle secured renomination in the May 2026 primary and enters the November general election against Republican Jessica Arriaga with established name recognition, fundraising strength, and prior victories exceeding 70 percent. Race ratings from multiple forecasters classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic. Limited recent developments have altered positioning, with no major polling shifts or candidate controversies reported since primaries. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include a late national partisan swing, health-related withdrawal, or significant local scandal, though structural factors make substantial movement improbable before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$35,660終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's pronounced Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent electoral history, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Representative Brendan Boyle secured renomination in the May 2026 primary and enters the November general election against Republican Jessica Arriaga with established name recognition, fundraising strength, and prior victories exceeding 70 percent. Race ratings from multiple forecasters classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic. Limited recent developments have altered positioning, with no major polling shifts or candidate controversies reported since primaries. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include a late national partisan swing, health-related withdrawal, or significant local scandal, though structural factors make substantial movement improbable before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$35,660終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The district's pronounced Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent electoral history, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Representative Brendan Boyle secured renomination in the May 2026 primary and enters the November general election against Republican Jessica Arriaga with established name recognition, fundraising strength, and prior victories exceeding 70 percent. Race ratings from multiple forecasters classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic. Limited recent developments have altered positioning, with no major polling shifts or candidate controversies reported since primaries. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include a late national partisan swing, health-related withdrawal, or significant local scandal, though structural factors make substantial movement improbable before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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