Democratic incumbent Eric Sorensen holds a commanding position in the Illinois 17th congressional district race, reflecting the seat’s modest Democratic lean and his established incumbency advantage ahead of the November 2026 general election. The district, which combines rural downstate counties with more urban areas, supported the Democratic presidential nominee by five points in 2024 and carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+3. Sorensen advanced unopposed in the March 2026 Democratic primary, while Republican nominee Dillan Vancil emerged from a contested primary. Ratings from nonpartisan analysts place the contest in the Likely Democratic or Solid Democratic range. Trader consensus assigns the Democratic Party a 91.5% implied probability of retaining the seat. Potential shifts could stem from an unforeseen national political environment, significant candidate-specific developments, or unusually strong Republican performance that narrows the district’s structural margin.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$14,243 Vol.
$14,243 Vol.
2026/11/04
民主党
92%
共和党
8%
$14,243 Vol.
$14,243 Vol.
2026/11/04
民主党
$2,001 Vol.
92%
共和党
$12,242 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Eric Sorensen holds a commanding position in the Illinois 17th congressional district race, reflecting the seat’s modest Democratic lean and his established incumbency advantage ahead of the November 2026 general election. The district, which combines rural downstate counties with more urban areas, supported the Democratic presidential nominee by five points in 2024 and carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+3. Sorensen advanced unopposed in the March 2026 Democratic primary, while Republican nominee Dillan Vancil emerged from a contested primary. Ratings from nonpartisan analysts place the contest in the Likely Democratic or Solid Democratic range. Trader consensus assigns the Democratic Party a 91.5% implied probability of retaining the seat. Potential shifts could stem from an unforeseen national political environment, significant candidate-specific developments, or unusually strong Republican performance that narrows the district’s structural margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ET
音量
$14,243終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Eric Sorensen holds a commanding position in the Illinois 17th congressional district race, reflecting the seat’s modest Democratic lean and his established incumbency advantage ahead of the November 2026 general election. The district, which combines rural downstate counties with more urban areas, supported the Democratic presidential nominee by five points in 2024 and carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+3. Sorensen advanced unopposed in the March 2026 Democratic primary, while Republican nominee Dillan Vancil emerged from a contested primary. Ratings from nonpartisan analysts place the contest in the Likely Democratic or Solid Democratic range. Trader consensus assigns the Democratic Party a 91.5% implied probability of retaining the seat. Potential shifts could stem from an unforeseen national political environment, significant candidate-specific developments, or unusually strong Republican performance that narrows the district’s structural margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$14,243終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Eric Sorensen holds a commanding position in the Illinois 17th congressional district race, reflecting the seat’s modest Democratic lean and his established incumbency advantage ahead of the November 2026 general election. The district, which combines rural downstate counties with more urban areas, supported the Democratic presidential nominee by five points in 2024 and carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+3. Sorensen advanced unopposed in the March 2026 Democratic primary, while Republican nominee Dillan Vancil emerged from a contested primary. Ratings from nonpartisan analysts place the contest in the Likely Democratic or Solid Democratic range. Trader consensus assigns the Democratic Party a 91.5% implied probability of retaining the seat. Potential shifts could stem from an unforeseen national political environment, significant candidate-specific developments, or unusually strong Republican performance that narrows the district’s structural margin.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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