Incumbent Republican Darin LaHood, unopposed in the March 17 Republican primary, holds a commanding position in Illinois' 16th Congressional District—a Solid Republican seat per Cook Political Report with R+11 partisan lean—against Democrat Paul Nolley, who also advanced unopposed. LaHood's near-uncontested 2024 victory (99.9%), combined with a massive fundraising edge ($6.7 million cash on hand versus Nolley's $160,000 as of March 31), drives trader consensus to 86.5% for the GOP amid historical dominance and Trump carrying the district 61-38% in 2024. No significant developments have occurred in the past 30 days, with the November 3 general election six months away.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$12,361 Vol.
$12,361 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
88%
民主党
10%
$12,361 Vol.
$12,361 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$3,728 Vol.
88%
民主党
$8,633 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Darin LaHood, unopposed in the March 17 Republican primary, holds a commanding position in Illinois' 16th Congressional District—a Solid Republican seat per Cook Political Report with R+11 partisan lean—against Democrat Paul Nolley, who also advanced unopposed. LaHood's near-uncontested 2024 victory (99.9%), combined with a massive fundraising edge ($6.7 million cash on hand versus Nolley's $160,000 as of March 31), drives trader consensus to 86.5% for the GOP amid historical dominance and Trump carrying the district 61-38% in 2024. No significant developments have occurred in the past 30 days, with the November 3 general election six months away.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$12,361終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Darin LaHood, unopposed in the March 17 Republican primary, holds a commanding position in Illinois' 16th Congressional District—a Solid Republican seat per Cook Political Report with R+11 partisan lean—against Democrat Paul Nolley, who also advanced unopposed. LaHood's near-uncontested 2024 victory (99.9%), combined with a massive fundraising edge ($6.7 million cash on hand versus Nolley's $160,000 as of March 31), drives trader consensus to 86.5% for the GOP amid historical dominance and Trump carrying the district 61-38% in 2024. No significant developments have occurred in the past 30 days, with the November 3 general election six months away.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$12,361終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Darin LaHood, unopposed in the March 17 Republican primary, holds a commanding position in Illinois' 16th Congressional District—a Solid Republican seat per Cook Political Report with R+11 partisan lean—against Democrat Paul Nolley, who also advanced unopposed. LaHood's near-uncontested 2024 victory (99.9%), combined with a massive fundraising edge ($6.7 million cash on hand versus Nolley's $160,000 as of March 31), drives trader consensus to 86.5% for the GOP amid historical dominance and Trump carrying the district 61-38% in 2024. No significant developments have occurred in the past 30 days, with the November 3 general election six months away.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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