Incumbent Republican Darin LaHood holds a commanding position in the Illinois 16th congressional district race, backed by consistent "Solid Republican" or "Safe Republican" ratings from outlets including the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ. The rural northern Illinois district's partisan lean, LaHood's unopposed March 2026 primary victory, and substantial fundraising edge—over $6.7 million in cash on hand versus his Democratic opponent's roughly $230,000—reinforce trader consensus around a Republican outcome. Democrat Paul Nolley secured his party's nomination without opposition but faces structural disadvantages in voter registration and historical margins. Late developments such as national economic shifts, unexpected scandals, or unusually strong Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though current indicators show limited movement in the race ahead of the November general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$31,418 Vol.
$31,418 Vol.
2026/11/02
共和党
93%
民主党
7%
$31,418 Vol.
$31,418 Vol.
2026/11/02
共和党
$13,462 Vol.
93%
民主党
$17,956 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Darin LaHood holds a commanding position in the Illinois 16th congressional district race, backed by consistent "Solid Republican" or "Safe Republican" ratings from outlets including the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ. The rural northern Illinois district's partisan lean, LaHood's unopposed March 2026 primary victory, and substantial fundraising edge—over $6.7 million in cash on hand versus his Democratic opponent's roughly $230,000—reinforce trader consensus around a Republican outcome. Democrat Paul Nolley secured his party's nomination without opposition but faces structural disadvantages in voter registration and historical margins. Late developments such as national economic shifts, unexpected scandals, or unusually strong Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though current indicators show limited movement in the race ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$31,418終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Darin LaHood holds a commanding position in the Illinois 16th congressional district race, backed by consistent "Solid Republican" or "Safe Republican" ratings from outlets including the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ. The rural northern Illinois district's partisan lean, LaHood's unopposed March 2026 primary victory, and substantial fundraising edge—over $6.7 million in cash on hand versus his Democratic opponent's roughly $230,000—reinforce trader consensus around a Republican outcome. Democrat Paul Nolley secured his party's nomination without opposition but faces structural disadvantages in voter registration and historical margins. Late developments such as national economic shifts, unexpected scandals, or unusually strong Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though current indicators show limited movement in the race ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$31,418終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Darin LaHood holds a commanding position in the Illinois 16th congressional district race, backed by consistent "Solid Republican" or "Safe Republican" ratings from outlets including the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ. The rural northern Illinois district's partisan lean, LaHood's unopposed March 2026 primary victory, and substantial fundraising edge—over $6.7 million in cash on hand versus his Democratic opponent's roughly $230,000—reinforce trader consensus around a Republican outcome. Democrat Paul Nolley secured his party's nomination without opposition but faces structural disadvantages in voter registration and historical margins. Late developments such as national economic shifts, unexpected scandals, or unusually strong Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though current indicators show limited movement in the race ahead of the November general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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