State Rep. La Shawn Ford's victory in the March 17 Democratic primary for Illinois' 7th Congressional District solidified trader consensus on a Democratic hold at 93.5%, reflecting the district's deep-blue status—encompassing Chicago's West and South Sides with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+32—and Ford's endorsement from retiring 14-term incumbent Rep. Danny Davis. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days to shift odds, as the Republican nominee faces steep historical barriers in a seat Democrats have won by 40+ points in recent cycles. Potential challenges include a late-breaking scandal involving Ford, health issues, or an unprecedented national Republican wave, though such shifts remain low-probability ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$17,127 Vol.
$17,127 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
94%
共和党
3%
$17,127 Vol.
$17,127 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$3,783 Vol.
94%
共和党
$13,344 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).State Rep. La Shawn Ford's victory in the March 17 Democratic primary for Illinois' 7th Congressional District solidified trader consensus on a Democratic hold at 93.5%, reflecting the district's deep-blue status—encompassing Chicago's West and South Sides with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+32—and Ford's endorsement from retiring 14-term incumbent Rep. Danny Davis. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days to shift odds, as the Republican nominee faces steep historical barriers in a seat Democrats have won by 40+ points in recent cycles. Potential challenges include a late-breaking scandal involving Ford, health issues, or an unprecedented national Republican wave, though such shifts remain low-probability ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$17,127終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).State Rep. La Shawn Ford's victory in the March 17 Democratic primary for Illinois' 7th Congressional District solidified trader consensus on a Democratic hold at 93.5%, reflecting the district's deep-blue status—encompassing Chicago's West and South Sides with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+32—and Ford's endorsement from retiring 14-term incumbent Rep. Danny Davis. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days to shift odds, as the Republican nominee faces steep historical barriers in a seat Democrats have won by 40+ points in recent cycles. Potential challenges include a late-breaking scandal involving Ford, health issues, or an unprecedented national Republican wave, though such shifts remain low-probability ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$17,127終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...State Rep. La Shawn Ford's victory in the March 17 Democratic primary for Illinois' 7th Congressional District solidified trader consensus on a Democratic hold at 93.5%, reflecting the district's deep-blue status—encompassing Chicago's West and South Sides with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+32—and Ford's endorsement from retiring 14-term incumbent Rep. Danny Davis. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days to shift odds, as the Republican nominee faces steep historical barriers in a seat Democrats have won by 40+ points in recent cycles. Potential challenges include a late-breaking scandal involving Ford, health issues, or an unprecedented national Republican wave, though such shifts remain low-probability ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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