Oregon's 4th congressional district carries a D+6 Partisan Voter Index and is rated Solid or Safe Democratic by Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and other forecasters ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election. Incumbent Democrat Val Hoyle won her May primary with roughly 75 percent of the vote and holds a clear fundraising edge over Republican nominee Monique DeSpain, who captured her party's nomination with 87 percent. The district's mix of Democratic strength in Eugene and Lane County with more Republican-leaning rural and coastal areas has produced consistent Democratic victories in recent cycles. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these structural and campaign fundamentals. A significant national Republican wave or unusually low Democratic turnout in university-heavy areas could narrow margins, though no such shifts appear underway at present.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$21,725 Vol.
$21,725 Vol.
2026/11/02
民主党
94%
共和党
6%
$21,725 Vol.
$21,725 Vol.
2026/11/02
民主党
$14,754 Vol.
94%
共和党
$6,972 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oregon's 4th congressional district carries a D+6 Partisan Voter Index and is rated Solid or Safe Democratic by Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and other forecasters ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election. Incumbent Democrat Val Hoyle won her May primary with roughly 75 percent of the vote and holds a clear fundraising edge over Republican nominee Monique DeSpain, who captured her party's nomination with 87 percent. The district's mix of Democratic strength in Eugene and Lane County with more Republican-leaning rural and coastal areas has produced consistent Democratic victories in recent cycles. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these structural and campaign fundamentals. A significant national Republican wave or unusually low Democratic turnout in university-heavy areas could narrow margins, though no such shifts appear underway at present.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$21,725終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oregon's 4th congressional district carries a D+6 Partisan Voter Index and is rated Solid or Safe Democratic by Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and other forecasters ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election. Incumbent Democrat Val Hoyle won her May primary with roughly 75 percent of the vote and holds a clear fundraising edge over Republican nominee Monique DeSpain, who captured her party's nomination with 87 percent. The district's mix of Democratic strength in Eugene and Lane County with more Republican-leaning rural and coastal areas has produced consistent Democratic victories in recent cycles. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these structural and campaign fundamentals. A significant national Republican wave or unusually low Democratic turnout in university-heavy areas could narrow margins, though no such shifts appear underway at present.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$21,725終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Oregon's 4th congressional district carries a D+6 Partisan Voter Index and is rated Solid or Safe Democratic by Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and other forecasters ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election. Incumbent Democrat Val Hoyle won her May primary with roughly 75 percent of the vote and holds a clear fundraising edge over Republican nominee Monique DeSpain, who captured her party's nomination with 87 percent. The district's mix of Democratic strength in Eugene and Lane County with more Republican-leaning rural and coastal areas has produced consistent Democratic victories in recent cycles. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these structural and campaign fundamentals. A significant national Republican wave or unusually low Democratic turnout in university-heavy areas could narrow margins, though no such shifts appear underway at present.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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